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Melbourne City – Sydney: predictions and statistics
Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 1.55 / 1.28
Match preview
Melbourne City — Sydney: Австралийн A-League, 5-р сарын 3, Бямба, УБ-ын цагаар 15:00. Цэнгэлдэх: AAMI Park.
Standings: Melbourne City — position 2 (45 points, 25 played), Sydney — position 7 (37 points, 25 played).
Last 5 matches — Melbourne City: W W W D D; Sydney: L W D W L.
3 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2025.03.29): Melbourne City 2 wins, 1 draws, Sydney 0 wins.
Model probabilities: Melbourne City win 44%, draw 25%, Sydney win 32%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.83.
Over 2.5 goals probability 54%; both teams to score probability 57%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 44% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 25% |
| Away win (2) | 32% |
| 1X | 68% |
| X2 | 56% |
| 12 | 75% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 6% | 94% |
| 1.5 | 23% | 77% |
| 2.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 3.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 4.5 | 84% | 16% |
| 5.5 | 93% | 7% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 57% | No 43% |
First half
| 1 | 34% |
|---|---|
| X | 40% |
| 2 | 26% |
| Over 0.5 | 72% |
| Over 1.5 | 36% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 22% | – | 78% |
| -1.0 | 22% | 22% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | – | 56% |
| +0.0 | 44% | 25% | 32% |
| +0.5 | 68% | – | 32% |
| +1.0 | 68% | 18% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | – | 14% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 1:111.6%
- 1:09.2%
- 2:19.1%
- 0:17.6%
- 1:27.5%
- 2:07.1%
Expected goals: Melbourne City 1.55 · Sydney 1.28
Team statistics
| Melbourne Cityhome | Sydneyaway | |
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 0.50 | 1.40 |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 40% |
| Both teams to score | 20% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 70% | 30% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 20% | 40% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Melbourne City — recent matches
Sydney — recent matches
Melbourne City — home
Head-to-head
- 25.03.29 Sydney – Melbourne City 2-3 (2-2)
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 24.02.24 Sydney – Melbourne City 1-1 (1-0)
- 23.11.03 Melbourne City – Sydney 2-0 (1-0)