The last saved data is shown below. Updates are delayed, so scores and statuses may have changed.
Melbourne City – Brisbane Roar: predictions and statistics
Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 1.98 / 0.90
Match preview
Melbourne City — Brisbane Roar: Австралийн A-League, 4-р сарын 11, Баасан, УБ-ын цагаар 17:35. Цэнгэлдэх: AAMI Park.
Standings: Melbourne City — position 3 (40 points, 22 played), Brisbane Roar — position 12 (11 points, 21 played).
Last 5 matches — Melbourne City: W W L W W; Brisbane Roar: D D W L L.
4 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2025.01.11): Melbourne City 3 wins, 0 draws, Brisbane Roar 1 wins.
Melbourne City — 7 consecutive matches with under 2.5 goals (home).
Brisbane Roar — 21 consecutive matches conceding.
Model probabilities: Melbourne City win 62%, draw 21%, Brisbane Roar win 16%. Most likely score 1:0, expected total goals 2.88.
Over 2.5 goals probability 55%; both teams to score probability 51%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 62% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 21% |
| Away win (2) | 16% |
| 1X | 84% |
| X2 | 38% |
| 12 | 79% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 6% | 94% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 78% |
| 2.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 3.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 4.5 | 84% | 16% |
| 5.5 | 93% | 7% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 51% | No 49% |
First half
| 1 | 46% |
|---|---|
| X | 38% |
| 2 | 16% |
| Over 0.5 | 73% |
| Over 1.5 | 37% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 38% | – | 62% |
| -1.0 | 38% | 24% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | – | 38% |
| +0.0 | 62% | 21% | 16% |
| +0.5 | 84% | – | 16% |
| +1.0 | 84% | 11% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | – | 5% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 1:011.1%
- 2:011.0%
- 1:110.0%
- 2:19.9%
- 3:07.3%
- 3:16.5%
Expected goals: Melbourne City 1.98 · Brisbane Roar 0.90
Team statistics
| Melbourne Cityhome | Brisbane Roaraway | |
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 0.80 | 1.90 |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 50% |
| Both teams to score | 20% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 60% | 0% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 20% | 30% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Melbourne City — recent matches
Brisbane Roar — recent matches
Melbourne City — home
Head-to-head
- 25.01.11 Melbourne City – Brisbane Roar 1-0 (0-0)
- 24.12.06 Brisbane Roar – Melbourne City 1-4 (0-2)
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 24.02.10 Brisbane Roar – Melbourne City 5-1 (4-0)
- 23.12.28 Melbourne City – Brisbane Roar 8-1 (3-0)
Melbourne City — trends
Brisbane Roar — trends
Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.