The last saved data is shown below. Updates are delayed, so scores and statuses may have changed.
Melbourne City – Adelaide United: predictions and statistics
Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 2.19 / 1.37
Match preview
Melbourne City — Adelaide United: Австралийн A-League, 4-р сарын 26, Бямба, УБ-ын цагаар 17:35. Цэнгэлдэх: AAMI Park.
Standings: Melbourne City — position 2 (44 points, 24 played), Adelaide United — position 7 (37 points, 25 played).
Last 5 matches — Melbourne City: L W W W D; Adelaide United: L L L W D.
3 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2025.02.07): Melbourne City 1 wins, 0 draws, Adelaide United 2 wins.
Adelaide United — both teams scored in the last 8 matches.
Model probabilities: Melbourne City win 56%, draw 21%, Adelaide United win 23%. Most likely score 2:1, expected total goals 3.57.
Over 2.5 goals probability 69%; both teams to score probability 66%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 56% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 21% |
| Away win (2) | 23% |
| 1X | 77% |
| X2 | 44% |
| 12 | 79% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 3% | 97% |
| 1.5 | 13% | 87% |
| 2.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 3.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 4.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 5.5 | 85% | 15% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 66% | No 34% |
First half
| 1 | 43% |
|---|---|
| X | 34% |
| 2 | 22% |
| Over 0.5 | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 48% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 35% | – | 65% |
| -1.0 | 35% | 22% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | – | 44% |
| +0.0 | 56% | 21% | 23% |
| +0.5 | 77% | – | 23% |
| +1.0 | 77% | 13% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | – | 10% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 2:19.3%
- 1:18.6%
- 3:16.8%
- 2:06.8%
- 2:26.4%
- 1:06.1%
Expected goals: Melbourne City 2.19 · Adelaide United 1.37
Team statistics
| Melbourne Cityhome | Adelaide Unitedaway | |
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.40 | 1.90 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 0.70 | 2.30 |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 50% |
| Both teams to score | 20% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 60% | 20% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 20% | 10% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Melbourne City — recent matches
Adelaide United — recent matches
Melbourne City — home
Head-to-head
- 25.02.07 Adelaide United – Melbourne City 1-0 (0-0)
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 24.01.25 Melbourne City – Adelaide United 1-0 (1-0)
- 23.10.29 Adelaide United – Melbourne City 6-0 (2-0)
Melbourne City — trends
No notable streaks.
Adelaide United — trends
Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.