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Melbourne City – Macarthur: predictions and statistics

Австралийн A-League · 22-р тойрог 3/7 · Friday · 16:35
2 : 0
First half 1:0 Finished
PredictionHome
Predicted score1:0
Expected goals2.85
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
1.68 / 1.16

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Melbourne City — Macarthur: Австралийн A-League, 3-р сарын 7, Баасан, УБ-ын цагаар 16:35. Цэнгэлдэх: AAMI Park.

Standings: Melbourne City — position 5 (31 points, 18 played), Macarthur — position 8 (25 points, 19 played).

Last 5 matches — Melbourne City: L L W D W; Macarthur: W L D L L.

3 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2025.01.25): Melbourne City 0 wins, 1 draws, Macarthur 2 wins.

Melbourne City — 4 consecutive clean sheets (home).

Macarthur — 6 consecutive matches with over 2.5 goals (away).

Model probabilities: Melbourne City win 50%, draw 24%, Macarthur win 27%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.85.

Over 2.5 goals probability 54%; both teams to score probability 56%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)50%
Draw (X)24%
Away win (2)27%
1X73%
X250%
1276%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.56%94%
1.523%77%
2.546%54%
3.568%32%
4.584%16%
5.593%7%
Both teams to scoreYes 56%No 44%

First half

137%
X40%
223%
Over 0.572%
Over 1.537%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 31%5%2% X 16%14%10% 2 3%5%15%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.527%–73%
-1.027%23%50%
-0.550%–50%
+0.050%24%27%
+0.573%–27%
+1.073%16%10%
+1.590%–10%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:111.2%
  2. 1:09.9%
  3. 2:19.6%
  4. 2:08.2%
  5. 0:16.9%
  6. 1:26.6%

Expected goals: Melbourne City 1.68 · Macarthur 1.16

Team statistics

Melbourne CityhomeMelbourne CityallMacarthurallMacarthuraway
Matches710109
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт1.291.001.601.78
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт1.000.801.501.22
Over 1.571%50%90%89%
Over 2.529%20%80%89%
Over 3.529%10%30%22%
Both teams to score29%20%70%78%
Clean sheets57%50%20%22%
Гоол оруулаагүй14%30%10%11%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Melbourne City — trends

Clean sheets ×4 (home)Melbourne City 4 consecutive clean sheets (home)
Ялалт ×4 (гэртээ)Melbourne City 4 consecutive wins (home)

Macarthur — trends

2.5+ ×6 (away)Macarthur 6 consecutive matches with over 2.5 goals (away)

Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.