The last saved data is shown below. Updates are delayed, so scores and statuses may have changed.
Sagan Tosu – Sanfrecce Hiroshima: predictions and statistics
Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 1.13 / 1.62
Match preview
Sagan Tosu — Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Японы J1 лиг, 7-р сарын 21, Ням, УБ-ын цагаар 18:00. Цэнгэлдэх: Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
Standings: Sagan Tosu — position 19 (23 points, 23 played), Sanfrecce Hiroshima — position 5 (37 points, 23 played).
Last 5 matches — Sagan Tosu: L L W W L; Sanfrecce Hiroshima: W D D L W.
5 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.03.09): Sagan Tosu 0 wins, 2 draws, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3 wins.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima — 19 consecutive matches scoring.
Model probabilities: Sagan Tosu win 26%, draw 25%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima win 49%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.75.
Over 2.5 goals probability 52%; both teams to score probability 54%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 26% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 25% |
| Away win (2) | 49% |
| 1X | 51% |
| X2 | 74% |
| 12 | 75% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 7% | 93% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 76% |
| 2.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 3.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 4.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 5.5 | 94% | 6% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 54% | No 46% |
First half
| 1 | 23% |
|---|---|
| X | 41% |
| 2 | 37% |
| Over 0.5 | 71% |
| Over 1.5 | 35% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 10% | – | 90% |
| -1.0 | 10% | 16% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | – | 74% |
| +0.0 | 26% | 25% | 49% |
| +0.5 | 51% | – | 49% |
| +1.0 | 51% | 23% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | – | 26% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 1:112.0%
- 0:110.1%
- 1:29.5%
- 0:28.4%
- 1:06.9%
- 0:06.7%
Expected goals: Sagan Tosu 1.13 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.62
Team statistics
| Sagan Tosuhome | Sanfrecce Hiroshimaaway | |
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.30 | 1.50 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.70 | 0.90 |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 30% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 20% |
| Both teams to score | 30% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 60% | 10% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Sagan Tosu — recent matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima — recent matches
- 24.07.14 Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 W
- 24.07.05 Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Vissel Kobe 1-3 L
- 24.06.29 Kawasaki Frontale – Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-1 D
- 24.06.26 Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Albirex Niigata 1-1 D
- 24.06.22 Kashiwa Reysol – Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-1 W
- 24.06.19 Yokohama F. Marinos – Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-2 L
Sagan Tosu — home
Head-to-head
- 24.03.09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Sagan Tosu 4-0 (2-0)
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 23.09.02 Sagan Tosu – Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-2 (0-1)
- 23.04.09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Sagan Tosu 1-0 (0-0)
- 22.11.05 Sagan Tosu – Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-2 (0-2)
- 22.02.19 Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Sagan Tosu 0-0 (0-0)
Sagan Tosu — trends
No notable streaks.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima — trends
Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.