The last saved data is shown below. Updates are delayed, so scores and statuses may have changed.
Cerezo Osaka – Sagan Tosu: predictions and statistics
Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 1.55 / 1.00
Match preview
Cerezo Osaka — Sagan Tosu: Японы J1 лиг, 6-р сарын 26, Лхагва, УБ-ын цагаар 18:00. Цэнгэлдэх: Yodoko Sakura Stadium.
Standings: Cerezo Osaka — position 7 (29 points, 19 played), Sagan Tosu — position 17 (17 points, 18 played).
Last 5 matches — Cerezo Osaka: W D D W D; Sagan Tosu: W L L L W.
5 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.03.16): Cerezo Osaka 3 wins, 1 draws, Sagan Tosu 1 wins.
Model probabilities: Cerezo Osaka win 50%, draw 27%, Sagan Tosu win 24%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.55.
Under 2.5 goals probability 53%; both teams to score probability 50%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 50% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 27% |
| Away win (2) | 24% |
| 1X | 76% |
| X2 | 50% |
| 12 | 73% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 8% | 92% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 73% |
| 2.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 3.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 88% | 12% |
| 5.5 | 95% | 5% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 50% | No 50% |
First half
| 1 | 37% |
|---|---|
| X | 43% |
| 2 | 21% |
| Over 0.5 | 68% |
| Over 1.5 | 32% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 26% | – | 74% |
| -1.0 | 26% | 24% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | – | 50% |
| +0.0 | 50% | 27% | 24% |
| +0.5 | 76% | – | 24% |
| +1.0 | 76% | 15% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | – | 9% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 1:112.8%
- 1:011.5%
- 2:09.4%
- 2:19.4%
- 0:08.5%
- 0:17.1%
Expected goals: Cerezo Osaka 1.55 · Sagan Tosu 1.00
Team statistics
| Cerezo Osakahome | Sagan Tosuaway | |
| Matches | 9 | 8 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.56 | 0.88 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.33 | 2.12 |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 25% |
| Both teams to score | 78% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 22% | 12% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 0% | 38% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Cerezo Osaka — recent matches
Sagan Tosu — recent matches
Cerezo Osaka — home
Head-to-head
- 24.03.16 Sagan Tosu – Cerezo Osaka 0-2 (0-0)
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 23.07.08 Sagan Tosu – Cerezo Osaka 2-1 (0-1)
- 23.03.12 Cerezo Osaka – Sagan Tosu 2-1 (1-0)
- 22.09.10 Cerezo Osaka – Sagan Tosu 2-1 (0-0)
- 22.05.03 Sagan Tosu – Cerezo Osaka 1-1 (0-0)
Японы J1 лиг — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт
- 18:00Kashima – Gamba Osaka 0-0
- 18:00FC Tokyo – Consadole Sapporo 1-0
- 18:00Kawasaki Frontale – Shonan Bellmare 1-1
- 18:00Jubilo Iwata – Tokyo Verdy 3-0
- 18:00Nagoya Grampus – Urawa 0-1
- 18:00Kyoto Sanga – Kashiwa Reysol 2-2
- 18:00Vissel Kobe – Machida Zelvia 0-0
- 18:00Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Albirex Niigata 1-1
- 18:00Avispa Fukuoka – Yokohama F. Marinos 2-1