The last saved data is shown below. Scores and statuses may change at the next refresh.
Albirex Niigata – Sagan Tosu: predictions and statistics
Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 1.48 / 1.17
Match preview
Albirex Niigata — Sagan Tosu: Японы J1 лиг, 7-р сарын 6, Бямба, УБ-ын цагаар 17:30. Цэнгэлдэх: Denka Big Swan Stadium.
Standings: Albirex Niigata — position 14 (25 points, 21 played), Sagan Tosu — position 17 (20 points, 21 played).
Last 5 matches — Albirex Niigata: W D D D W; Sagan Tosu: L W L L W.
3 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.02.24): Albirex Niigata 1 wins, 1 draws, Sagan Tosu 1 wins.
Albirex Niigata — both teams scored in the last 7 matches (home).
Model probabilities: Albirex Niigata win 44%, draw 26%, Sagan Tosu win 30%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.65.
Under 2.5 goals probability 51%; both teams to score probability 53%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 44% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 26% |
| Away win (2) | 30% |
| 1X | 70% |
| X2 | 56% |
| 12 | 74% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 7% | 93% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 74% |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 3.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 4.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 5.5 | 95% | 5% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 53% | No 47% |
First half
| 1 | 33% |
|---|---|
| X | 42% |
| 2 | 25% |
| Over 0.5 | 70% |
| Over 1.5 | 33% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 22% | – | 78% |
| -1.0 | 22% | 22% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | – | 56% |
| +0.0 | 44% | 26% | 30% |
| +0.5 | 70% | – | 30% |
| +1.0 | 70% | 18% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | – | 12% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 1:112.5%
- 1:010.2%
- 2:19.0%
- 0:18.0%
- 2:07.7%
- 0:07.3%
Expected goals: Albirex Niigata 1.48 · Sagan Tosu 1.17
Team statistics
| Albirex Niigatahome | Sagan Tosuaway | |
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.30 | 0.80 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 20% |
| Both teams to score | 80% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 10% | 40% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Albirex Niigata — recent matches
Sagan Tosu — recent matches
Albirex Niigata — home
Head-to-head
- 24.02.24 Sagan Tosu – Albirex Niigata 1-2 (1-1)
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 23.10.21 Albirex Niigata – Sagan Tosu 1-1 (1-1)
- 23.05.20 Sagan Tosu – Albirex Niigata 2-0 (1-0)
Albirex Niigata — trends
Sagan Tosu — trends
No notable streaks.
Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.