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Independiente Medellin – Alianza Valledupar: predictions and statistics
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Recent matches · home / away
- 6 / 4
- Days since last match
- 3 / 4
- Sufficient league history
- Yes
- Expected goals · home / away
- 1.36 / 0.73
- Data-dependent strength weight
- 0.87
Match preview
Independiente Medellin — Alianza Valledupar: Colombia · Primera A, 11/2 · Monday, 07:10 Ulaanbaatar time. Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Recent matches — Independiente Medellin (5): W L L L L; Alianza Valledupar (4): D W W L.
3 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2025.01.27): Independiente Medellin 1 wins, 1 draws, Alianza Valledupar 1 wins.
Independiente Medellin — 4 consecutive losses.
Model probabilities: Independiente Medellin win 52%, draw 28%, Alianza Valledupar win 20%. Most likely score 1:0, expected total goals 2.09.
Under 2.5 goals probability 65%; both teams to score probability 38%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 52% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 28% |
| Away win (2) | 20% |
| 1X | 80% |
| X2 | 48% |
| 12 | 72% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 12% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 84% | 16% |
| 4.5 | 94% | 6% |
| 5.5 | 98% | 2% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 38% | No 62% |
First half
| 1 | 36% |
|---|---|
| X | 47% |
| 2 | 17% |
| Over 0.5 | 61% |
| Over 1.5 | 24% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 25% | – | 75% |
| -1.0 | 25% | 27% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | – | 48% |
| +0.0 | 52% | 28% | 20% |
| +0.5 | 80% | – | 20% |
| +1.0 | 80% | 15% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | – | 6% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 1:016.9%
- 0:012.3%
- 1:112.2%
- 2:011.4%
- 0:19.2%
- 2:18.3%
Expected goals: Independiente Medellin 1.36 · Alianza Valledupar 0.73
Team statistics
| Independiente Medellinhome | Alianza Valleduparaway | |
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams to score | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 50% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 100% | 50% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Independiente Medellin — recent matches
- 26.10.29 Internacional de Bogota – Independiente Medellin 3-1 L
- 26.10.26 Atletico Nacional – Independiente Medellin 2-1 L
- 26.10.18 Independiente Medellin – Once Caldas 0-2 L
- 26.10.15 Atletico Nacional – Independiente Medellin 3-2 L
- 26.10.12 America de Cali – Independiente Medellin 1-2 W
- 26.10.06 Independiente Medellin – Santa Fe 0-1 L
Alianza Valledupar — recent matches
Independiente Medellin — home
Alianza Valledupar — away
Head-to-head
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 25.01.27 Alianza Valledupar – Independiente Medellin 1-1 (0-0)
- 24.10.11 Independiente Medellin – Alianza Valledupar 2-0 (1-0)
- 24.02.25 Alianza Valledupar – Independiente Medellin 2-0 (2-0)
Independiente Medellin — trends
Alianza Valledupar — trends
No notable streaks.
Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.