The last saved data is shown below. Scores and statuses may change at the next refresh.
Atletico Nacional – Independiente Medellin: predictions and statistics
This prediction was published and locked before the match and will not change.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Recent matches · home / away
- 5 / 4
- Days since last match
- 3 / 8
- Sufficient league history
- Yes
- Expected goals · home / away
- 1.48 / 0.78
- Data-dependent strength weight
- 0.87
Match preview
Atletico Nacional — Independiente Medellin: Colombia · Primera A, 10/26 · Monday, 07:10 Ulaanbaatar time. Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Recent matches — Atletico Nacional (5): D W W L W; Independiente Medellin (4): L W L L.
5 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2026.10.15): Atletico Nacional 1 wins, 4 draws, Independiente Medellin 0 wins.
Model probabilities: Atletico Nacional win 53%, draw 29%, Independiente Medellin win 18%. Most likely score 1:0, expected total goals 2.26.
Under 2.5 goals probability 61%; both teams to score probability 43%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 53% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 29% |
| Away win (2) | 18% |
| 1X | 82% |
| X2 | 47% |
| 12 | 71% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 12% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 3.5 | 81% | 19% |
| 4.5 | 92% | 8% |
| 5.5 | 97% | 3% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 43% | No 57% |
First half
| 1 | 38% |
|---|---|
| X | 45% |
| 2 | 17% |
| Over 0.5 | 64% |
| Over 1.5 | 27% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 28% | – | 72% |
| -1.0 | 28% | 25% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | – | 47% |
| +0.0 | 53% | 29% | 18% |
| +0.5 | 82% | – | 18% |
| +1.0 | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | – | 6% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 1:014.1%
- 1:113.4%
- 0:011.8%
- 2:011.5%
- 2:18.9%
- 0:16.7%
Expected goals: Atletico Nacional 1.48 · Independiente Medellin 0.78
Team statistics
| Atletico Nacionalhome | Independiente Medellinaway | |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 0.67 | 2.00 |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 50% |
| Both teams to score | 33% | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 67% | 0% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 33% | 0% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Atletico Nacional — recent matches
Independiente Medellin — recent matches
Atletico Nacional — home
Independiente Medellin — away
Head-to-head
- 26.10.15 Atletico Nacional – Independiente Medellin 3-2 (2-0)
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 25.05.05 Independiente Medellin – Atletico Nacional 1-1 (0-1)
- 25.03.24 Atletico Nacional – Independiente Medellin 1-1 (0-0)
- 24.11.12 Atletico Nacional – Independiente Medellin 1-1 (0-0)
- 24.04.23 Independiente Medellin – Atletico Nacional 2-2 (1-2)