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Internacional de Bogota – Independiente Medellin: predictions and statistics

Colombia · Primera A · Клаусура · 5-р тойрог 10/29 · Thursday · 09:05
3 : 1
First half 1:0 Finished
PredictionHome
Predicted score1:0
Expected goals2.23
Data quality Medium data quality

This prediction was published and locked before the match and will not change.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Recent matches · home / away
5 / 5
Days since last match
3 / 3
Sufficient league history
Yes
Expected goals · home / away
1.16 / 1.07
Data-dependent strength weight
0.93

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Internacional de Bogota — Independiente Medellin: Colombia · Primera A, 10/29 · Thursday, 09:05 Ulaanbaatar time. Venue: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.

Last 5 matches — Internacional de Bogota: D D W W L; Independiente Medellin: L W L L L.

3 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2025.03.09): Internacional de Bogota 0 wins, 2 draws, Independiente Medellin 1 wins.

Model probabilities: Internacional de Bogota win 38%, draw 29%, Independiente Medellin win 33%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.23.

Under 2.5 goals probability 62%; both teams to score probability 45%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)38%
Draw (X)29%
Away win (2)33%
1X67%
X262%
1271%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.511%89%
1.535%65%
2.562%38%
3.581%19%
4.592%8%
5.597%3%
Both teams to scoreYes 45%No 55%

First half

128%
X47%
225%
Over 0.563%
Over 1.526%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 22%5%2% X 14%19%13% 2 2%5%19%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.516%–84%
-1.016%22%62%
-0.538%–62%
+0.038%29%33%
+0.567%–33%
+1.067%20%13%
+1.587%–13%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:113.2%
  2. 1:012.7%
  3. 0:111.6%
  4. 0:010.7%
  5. 2:17.7%
  6. 2:07.3%

Expected goals: Internacional de Bogota 1.16 · Independiente Medellin 1.07

Team statistics

Internacional de BogotahomeInternacional de BogotaallIndependiente MedellinallIndependiente Medellinaway
Matches3553
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт2.331.801.001.67
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт1.001.201.802.00
Over 1.5100%80%80%100%
Over 2.567%60%60%100%
Over 3.533%40%20%33%
Both teams to score100%80%60%100%
Clean sheets0%0%0%0%
Гоол оруулаагүй0%20%40%0%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Colombia · Primera A — other matches on this date