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Western Sydney Wanderers – Melbourne Victory: predictions and statistics
Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 1.75 / 1.51
Match preview
Western Sydney Wanderers — Melbourne Victory: Австралийн A-League, 5-р сарын 10, Бямба, УБ-ын цагаар 17:35. Цэнгэлдэх: CommBank Stadium.
Standings: Western Sydney Wanderers — position 4 (46 points, 26 played), Melbourne Victory — position 5 (43 points, 26 played).
Last 5 matches — Western Sydney Wanderers: D W D W W; Melbourne Victory: W W L W D.
4 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2025.03.15): Western Sydney Wanderers 2 wins, 1 draws, Melbourne Victory 1 wins.
Western Sydney Wanderers — 12 matches unbeaten.
Model probabilities: Western Sydney Wanderers win 43%, draw 23%, Melbourne Victory win 34%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 3.26.
Over 2.5 goals probability 63%; both teams to score probability 64%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 43% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 23% |
| Away win (2) | 34% |
| 1X | 66% |
| X2 | 57% |
| 12 | 77% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 4% | 96% |
| 1.5 | 16% | 84% |
| 2.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 3.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 4.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 5.5 | 89% | 11% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 64% | No 36% |
First half
| 1 | 35% |
|---|---|
| X | 37% |
| 2 | 28% |
| Over 0.5 | 77% |
| Over 1.5 | 43% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 23% | – | 77% |
| -1.0 | 23% | 20% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | – | 57% |
| +0.0 | 43% | 23% | 34% |
| +0.5 | 66% | – | 34% |
| +1.0 | 66% | 18% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | – | 16% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 1:110.2%
- 2:18.9%
- 1:27.7%
- 1:06.7%
- 2:26.7%
- 2:05.9%
Expected goals: Western Sydney Wanderers 1.75 · Melbourne Victory 1.51
Team statistics
| Western Sydney Wanderershome | Melbourne Victoryaway | |
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 2.30 | 1.50 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 70% | 40% |
| Both teams to score | 80% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 10% | 30% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Western Sydney Wanderers — recent matches
- 25.05.03 Macarthur – Western Sydney Wanderers 1-3 W
- 25.04.26 Newcastle Jets – Western Sydney Wanderers 0-1 W
- 25.04.19 Western Sydney Wanderers – Melbourne City 2-2 D
- 25.04.13 Western Sydney Wanderers – Western United 2-0 W
- 25.04.05 Auckland – Western Sydney Wanderers 1-1 D
- 25.03.29 Wellington Phoenix – Western Sydney Wanderers 2-2 D
Melbourne Victory — recent matches
- 25.05.04 Melbourne Victory – Newcastle Jets 1-1 D
- 25.04.25 Macarthur – Melbourne Victory 1-2 W
- 25.04.19 Melbourne Victory – Auckland 0-2 L
- 25.04.12 Wellington Phoenix – Melbourne Victory 2-3 W
- 25.03.29 Melbourne Victory – Adelaide United 5-3 W
- 25.03.15 Western Sydney Wanderers – Melbourne Victory 4-2 L
Western Sydney Wanderers — home
Head-to-head
- 25.03.15 Western Sydney Wanderers – Melbourne Victory 4-2 (1-2)
- 25.01.04 Melbourne Victory – Western Sydney Wanderers 2-2 (1-1)
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 24.04.27 Melbourne Victory – Western Sydney Wanderers 3-4 (2-2)
- 23.12.10 Western Sydney Wanderers – Melbourne Victory 3-4 (0-2)
Western Sydney Wanderers — trends
Melbourne Victory — trends
No notable streaks.
Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.

