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Bayer Leverkusen – Union Berlin: predictions and statistics
Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 2.17 / 0.69
Match preview
Bayer Leverkusen — Union Berlin: Германы Бундеслига, 4-р сарын 12, Бямба, УБ-ын цагаар 21:30. Цэнгэлдэх: BayArena.
Standings: Bayer Leverkusen — position 2 (62 points, 28 played), Union Berlin — position 13 (34 points, 28 played).
Last 5 matches — Bayer Leverkusen: W L W W W; Union Berlin: L W D W W.
5 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.11.30): Bayer Leverkusen 4 wins, 1 draws, Union Berlin 0 wins.
Model probabilities: Bayer Leverkusen win 71%, draw 20%, Union Berlin win 10%. Most likely score 2:0, expected total goals 2.86.
Over 2.5 goals probability 55%; both teams to score probability 45%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 71% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 20% |
| Away win (2) | 10% |
| 1X | 90% |
| X2 | 29% |
| 12 | 80% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 7% | 93% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 79% |
| 2.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 3.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 4.5 | 84% | 16% |
| 5.5 | 93% | 7% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 45% | No 55% |
First half
| 1 | 52% |
|---|---|
| X | 37% |
| 2 | 12% |
| Over 0.5 | 72% |
| Over 1.5 | 37% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 47% | – | 53% |
| -1.0 | 47% | 23% | 29% |
| -0.5 | 71% | – | 29% |
| +0.0 | 71% | 20% | 10% |
| +0.5 | 90% | – | 10% |
| +1.0 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | – | 3% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 2:013.5%
- 1:011.5%
- 3:09.8%
- 1:19.5%
- 2:19.3%
- 3:16.7%
Expected goals: Bayer Leverkusen 2.17 · Union Berlin 0.69
Team statistics
| Bayer Leverkusenhome | Union Berlinaway | |
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 2.20 | 1.10 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 0.90 | 2.40 |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 40% |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 10% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 30% | 50% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Bayer Leverkusen — recent matches
Union Berlin — recent matches
Bayer Leverkusen — home
Head-to-head
- 24.11.30 Union Berlin – Bayer Leverkusen 1-2 (1-1)
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 24.04.06 Union Berlin – Bayer Leverkusen 0-1 (0-1)
- 23.11.12 Bayer Leverkusen – Union Berlin 4-0 (1-0)
- 23.04.29 Union Berlin – Bayer Leverkusen 0-0 (0-0)
- 22.11.06 Bayer Leverkusen – Union Berlin 5-0 (0-0)