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Union Berlin – Holstein Kiel: predictions and statistics
Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 1.79 / 1.30
Match preview
Union Berlin — Holstein Kiel: Германы Бундеслига, 3-р сарын 2, Ням, УБ-ын цагаар 22:30. Цэнгэлдэх: Stadion An der Alten Försterei.
Standings: Union Berlin — position 14 (24 points, 23 played), Holstein Kiel — position 18 (13 points, 23 played).
Last 5 matches — Union Berlin: L D W L L; Holstein Kiel: D L D L L.
Last 1 head-to-head matches: Union Berlin 1 wins, 0 draws, Holstein Kiel 0 wins.
Holstein Kiel — 11 consecutive matches with over 2.5 goals (away).
Model probabilities: Union Berlin win 47%, draw 27%, Holstein Kiel win 26%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 3.09.
Over 2.5 goals probability 60%; both teams to score probability 62%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 47% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 27% |
| Away win (2) | 26% |
| 1X | 74% |
| X2 | 53% |
| 12 | 73% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 6% | 94% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 83% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 3.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 4.5 | 80% | 20% |
| 5.5 | 91% | 9% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 62% | No 38% |
First half
| 1 | 38% |
|---|---|
| X | 38% |
| 2 | 24% |
| Over 0.5 | 75% |
| Over 1.5 | 41% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 27% | – | 73% |
| -1.0 | 27% | 20% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | – | 53% |
| +0.0 | 47% | 27% | 26% |
| +0.5 | 74% | – | 26% |
| +1.0 | 74% | 14% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | – | 12% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 1:112.3%
- 2:19.5%
- 2:07.3%
- 1:26.9%
- 1:06.5%
- 0:06.2%
Expected goals: Union Berlin 1.79 · Holstein Kiel 1.30
Team statistics
| Union Berlinhome | Holstein Kielaway | |
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.10 | 2.70 |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 80% |
| Both teams to score | 70% | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 0% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 30% | 0% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Union Berlin — recent matches
Holstein Kiel — recent matches
Union Berlin — home
Head-to-head
Union Berlin — trends
No notable streaks.
Holstein Kiel — trends
Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.