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Vasco DA Gama – Fluminense: predictions and statistics

Бразилийн Сери А · 22-р тойрог 8/11 · Sunday · 08:30
2 : 0
First half 1:0 Finished
PredictionHome
Predicted score1:0
Expected goals2.39
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
1.25 / 1.15

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Vasco DA Gama — Fluminense: Бразилийн Сери А, 8-р сарын 11, Ням, УБ-ын цагаар 08:30. Цэнгэлдэх: Estádio Nilton Santos.

Standings: Vasco DA Gama — position 13 (24 points, 20 played), Fluminense — position 17 (20 points, 20 played).

Last 5 matches — Vasco DA Gama: W W L L D; Fluminense: D W W W W.

3 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.04.21): Vasco DA Gama 1 wins, 1 draws, Fluminense 1 wins.

Fluminense — 11 consecutive matches with under 2.5 goals.

Model probabilities: Vasco DA Gama win 39%, draw 27%, Fluminense win 34%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.39.

Under 2.5 goals probability 57%; both teams to score probability 48%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)39%
Draw (X)27%
Away win (2)34%
1X66%
X261%
1273%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.59%91%
1.532%68%
2.557%43%
3.578%22%
4.590%10%
5.596%4%
Both teams to scoreYes 48%No 52%

First half

129%
X45%
226%
Over 0.566%
Over 1.529%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 22%5%2% X 14%18%13% 2 2%5%19%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.517%–83%
-1.017%22%61%
-0.539%–61%
+0.039%27%34%
+0.566%–34%
+1.066%20%14%
+1.586%–14%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:112.5%
  2. 1:011.9%
  3. 0:111.0%
  4. 0:08.6%
  5. 2:18.1%
  6. 1:27.5%

Expected goals: Vasco DA Gama 1.25 · Fluminense 1.15

Team statistics

Vasco DA GamahomeVasco DA GamaallFluminenseallFluminenseaway
Matches10101010
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт1.601.500.600.50
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт1.601.000.601.30
Over 1.590%80%20%50%
Over 2.560%40%0%30%
Over 3.540%20%0%0%
Both teams to score60%50%20%30%
Clean sheets30%30%40%20%
Гоол оруулаагүй20%20%40%50%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Vasco DA Gama — trends

No notable streaks.

Fluminense — trends

2.5− ×11Fluminense 11 consecutive matches with under 2.5 goals
Clean sheets ×4Fluminense 4 consecutive clean sheets
Ялалт ×4Fluminense 4 consecutive wins

Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.

Бразилийн Сери А — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт