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Atletico-MG – Vasco DA Gama: predictions and statistics

Бразилийн Сери А · 18-р тойрог 7/22 · Monday · 03:00
2 : 0
First half 2:0 Finished
PredictionHome
Predicted score1:0
Expected goals2.62
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
1.72 / 0.90

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Atletico-MG — Vasco DA Gama: Бразилийн Сери А, 7-р сарын 22, Даваа, УБ-ын цагаар 03:00. Цэнгэлдэх: Arena MRV.

Standings: Atletico-MG — position 11 (22 points, 16 played), Vasco DA Gama — position 9 (23 points, 17 played).

Last 5 matches — Atletico-MG: D L L W D; Vasco DA Gama: D W W W W.

2 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2023.08.20): Atletico-MG 0 wins, 0 draws, Vasco DA Gama 2 wins.

Atletico-MG — 12 consecutive matches conceding.

Vasco DA Gama — 4 consecutive wins.

Model probabilities: Atletico-MG win 57%, draw 23%, Vasco DA Gama win 20%. Most likely score 1:0, expected total goals 2.62.

Under 2.5 goals probability 51%; both teams to score probability 49%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)57%
Draw (X)23%
Away win (2)20%
1X80%
X243%
1277%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.57%93%
1.527%73%
2.551%49%
3.573%27%
4.587%13%
5.595%5%
Both teams to scoreYes 49%No 51%

First half

141%
X41%
218%
Over 0.569%
Over 1.533%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 35%4%1% X 19%15%8% 2 3%4%11%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.532%–68%
-1.032%25%43%
-0.557%–43%
+0.057%23%20%
+0.580%–20%
+1.080%13%6%
+1.594%–6%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:012.7%
  2. 1:111.1%
  3. 2:010.8%
  4. 2:19.7%
  5. 0:07.1%
  6. 0:16.7%

Expected goals: Atletico-MG 1.72 · Vasco DA Gama 0.90

Team statistics

Atletico-MGhomeAtletico-MGallVasco DA GamaallVasco DA Gamaaway
Matches810108
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт1.381.301.300.75
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт1.622.100.901.50
Over 1.5100%100%80%75%
Over 2.550%70%30%50%
Over 3.525%30%10%0%
Both teams to score75%80%40%50%
Clean sheets12%0%40%12%
Гоол оруулаагүй12%20%30%38%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Atletico-MG — trends

Conceded ×12Atletico-MG 12 consecutive matches conceding

Vasco DA Gama — trends

Ялалт ×4Vasco DA Gama 4 consecutive wins

Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.

Бразилийн Сери А — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт