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Nagoya Grampus – Sanfrecce Hiroshima: predictions and statistics
Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 0.94 / 1.27
Match preview
Nagoya Grampus — Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Японы J1 лиг, 8-р сарын 17, Бямба, УБ-ын цагаар 18:00. Цэнгэлдэх: Toyota Stadium.
Standings: Nagoya Grampus — position 12 (34 points, 26 played), Sanfrecce Hiroshima — position 3 (46 points, 26 played).
Last 5 matches — Nagoya Grampus: L W D L W; Sanfrecce Hiroshima: L W W W W.
5 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.05.06): Nagoya Grampus 2 wins, 1 draws, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2 wins.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima — 22 consecutive matches scoring.
Model probabilities: Nagoya Grampus win 27%, draw 29%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima win 44%. Most likely score 0:1, expected total goals 2.21.
Under 2.5 goals probability 62%; both teams to score probability 44%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 27% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 29% |
| Away win (2) | 44% |
| 1X | 56% |
| X2 | 73% |
| 12 | 71% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 11% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 2.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 82% | 18% |
| 4.5 | 93% | 7% |
| 5.5 | 97% | 3% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 44% | No 56% |
First half
| 1 | 22% |
|---|---|
| X | 46% |
| 2 | 32% |
| Over 0.5 | 63% |
| Over 1.5 | 26% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 10% | – | 90% |
| -1.0 | 10% | 18% | 73% |
| -0.5 | 27% | – | 73% |
| +0.0 | 27% | 29% | 44% |
| +0.5 | 56% | – | 44% |
| +1.0 | 56% | 24% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | – | 20% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 0:113.7%
- 1:113.4%
- 0:011.2%
- 1:010.0%
- 0:28.8%
- 1:28.3%
Expected goals: Nagoya Grampus 0.94 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.27
Team statistics
| Nagoya Grampushome | Sanfrecce Hiroshimaaway | |
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 30% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 30% |
| Both teams to score | 50% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 40% | 0% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Nagoya Grampus — recent matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima — recent matches
- 24.08.11 Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Cerezo Osaka 2-0 W
- 24.08.07 Tokyo Verdy – Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-1 W
- 24.07.21 Sagan Tosu – Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-4 W
- 24.07.14 Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 W
- 24.07.05 Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Vissel Kobe 1-3 L
- 24.06.29 Kawasaki Frontale – Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-1 D
Nagoya Grampus — home
Head-to-head
- 24.05.06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Nagoya Grampus 2-3 (1-2)
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 23.09.30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Nagoya Grampus 3-1 (0-0)
- 23.05.20 Nagoya Grampus – Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 (1-1)
- 22.09.17 Nagoya Grampus – Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-0 (0-0)
- 22.05.28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Nagoya Grampus 1-0 (0-0)
Nagoya Grampus — trends
No notable streaks.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima — trends
Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.