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Shonan Bellmare – Gamba Osaka: predictions and statistics

Японы J1 лиг · 17-р тойрог 6/1 · Saturday · 14:00
1 : 2
First half 0:1 Finished
PredictionHome
Predicted score1:0
Expected goals2.40
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
1.26 / 1.14

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Shonan Bellmare — Gamba Osaka: Японы J1 лиг, 6-р сарын 1, Бямба, УБ-ын цагаар 14:00. Цэнгэлдэх: Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka.

Standings: Shonan Bellmare — position 18 (14 points, 16 played), Gamba Osaka — position 4 (28 points, 16 played).

Last 5 matches — Shonan Bellmare: W D L W L; Gamba Osaka: W W D W W.

4 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2023.08.19): Shonan Bellmare 3 wins, 0 draws, Gamba Osaka 1 wins.

Gamba Osaka — 9 consecutive matches with under 2.5 goals (away).

Model probabilities: Shonan Bellmare win 39%, draw 28%, Gamba Osaka win 33%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.40.

Under 2.5 goals probability 57%; both teams to score probability 49%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)39%
Draw (X)28%
Away win (2)33%
1X67%
X261%
1272%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.59%91%
1.530%70%
2.557%43%
3.578%22%
4.590%10%
5.596%4%
Both teams to scoreYes 49%No 51%

First half

129%
X45%
226%
Over 0.566%
Over 1.529%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 23%5%2% X 14%18%13% 2 2%5%19%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.517%–83%
-1.017%21%61%
-0.539%–61%
+0.039%28%33%
+0.567%–33%
+1.067%19%14%
+1.586%–14%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:113.5%
  2. 1:010.9%
  3. 0:19.9%
  4. 0:09.5%
  5. 2:18.2%
  6. 1:27.5%

Expected goals: Shonan Bellmare 1.26 · Gamba Osaka 1.14

Team statistics

Shonan BellmarehomeShonan BellmareallGamba OsakaallGamba Osakaaway
Matches710109
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт1.431.301.000.56
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт1.571.800.700.67
Over 1.571%80%40%33%
Over 2.571%70%30%0%
Over 3.514%40%10%0%
Both teams to score71%70%30%22%
Clean sheets14%10%50%44%
Гоол оруулаагүй29%30%30%44%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Shonan Bellmare — trends

No notable streaks.

Gamba Osaka — trends

2.5− ×9 (away)Gamba Osaka 9 consecutive matches with under 2.5 goals (away)
Clean sheets ×3 (away)Gamba Osaka 3 consecutive clean sheets (away)

Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.

Японы J1 лиг — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт