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FC Tokyo – Gamba Osaka: predictions and statistics

Японы J1 лиг · 16-р тойрог 5/26 · Sunday · 14:00
0 : 1
First half 0:0 Finished
PredictionHome
Predicted score1:0
Expected goals2.60
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
1.56 / 1.04

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

FC Tokyo — Gamba Osaka: Японы J1 лиг, 5-р сарын 26, Ням, УБ-ын цагаар 14:00. Цэнгэлдэх: Ajinomoto Stadium.

Standings: FC Tokyo — position 8 (23 points, 15 played), Gamba Osaka — position 4 (25 points, 15 played).

Last 5 matches — FC Tokyo: W W D L D; Gamba Osaka: L W W D W.

4 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2023.10.01): FC Tokyo 2 wins, 1 draws, Gamba Osaka 1 wins.

FC Tokyo — both teams scored in the last 8 matches.

Gamba Osaka — 8 consecutive matches with under 2.5 goals (away).

Model probabilities: FC Tokyo win 49%, draw 26%, Gamba Osaka win 25%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.60.

Under 2.5 goals probability 52%; both teams to score probability 52%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)49%
Draw (X)26%
Away win (2)25%
1X75%
X251%
1274%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.58%92%
1.526%74%
2.552%48%
3.574%26%
4.588%12%
5.595%5%
Both teams to scoreYes 52%No 48%

First half

136%
X42%
222%
Over 0.569%
Over 1.533%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 30%5%2% X 17%16%10% 2 3%5%14%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.525%–75%
-1.025%23%51%
-0.549%–51%
+0.049%26%25%
+0.575%–25%
+1.075%16%9%
+1.591%–9%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:112.5%
  2. 1:011.1%
  3. 2:19.4%
  4. 2:09.0%
  5. 0:07.9%
  6. 0:17.3%

Expected goals: FC Tokyo 1.56 · Gamba Osaka 1.04

Team statistics

FC TokyohomeFC TokyoallGamba OsakaallGamba Osakaaway
Matches810108
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт1.621.900.900.50
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт1.381.500.800.75
Over 1.5100%100%40%38%
Over 2.562%80%30%0%
Over 3.512%40%10%0%
Both teams to score88%90%30%25%
Clean sheets12%10%40%38%
Гоол оруулаагүй0%0%40%50%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

FC Tokyo — trends

Both teams score ×8FC Tokyo both teams scored in the last 8 matches

Gamba Osaka — trends

2.5− ×8 (away)Gamba Osaka 8 consecutive matches with under 2.5 goals (away)

Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.

Японы J1 лиг — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт