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Aston Villa – Manchester City: predictions and statistics
This prediction was published and locked before the match and will not change.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 1.23 / 1.75
Match preview
Aston Villa — Manchester City: Английн Премьер лиг, 10-р сарын 24, Бямба, УБ-ын цагаар 19:30. Цэнгэлдэх: Villa Park.
Standings: Aston Villa — position 12 (8 points, 7 played), Manchester City — position 1 (21 points, 7 played).
Last 5 matches — Aston Villa: W D W W W; Manchester City: W W L W W.
8 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2026.05.24): Aston Villa 4 wins, 1 draws, Manchester City 3 wins.
Model probabilities: Aston Villa win 27%, draw 23%, Manchester City win 50%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.98.
Over 2.5 goals probability 57%; both teams to score probability 58%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 27% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 23% |
| Away win (2) | 50% |
| 1X | 50% |
| X2 | 73% |
| 12 | 77% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 5% | 95% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 80% |
| 2.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 3.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 4.5 | 82% | 18% |
| 5.5 | 92% | 8% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 58% | No 42% |
First half
| 1 | 23% |
|---|---|
| X | 39% |
| 2 | 38% |
| Over 0.5 | 74% |
| Over 1.5 | 39% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 11% | – | 89% |
| -1.0 | 11% | 16% | 73% |
| -0.5 | 27% | – | 73% |
| +0.0 | 27% | 23% | 50% |
| +0.5 | 50% | – | 50% |
| +1.0 | 50% | 23% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | – | 27% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 1:110.8%
- 1:29.6%
- 0:19.0%
- 0:27.8%
- 2:16.7%
- 1:06.4%
Expected goals: Aston Villa 1.23 · Manchester City 1.75
Team statistics
| Aston Villahome | Manchester Cityaway | |
| Matches | 5 | 3 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 2.40 | 2.67 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.20 | 0.33 |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 60% | 33% |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 67% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 20% | 0% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Aston Villa — recent matches
Manchester City — recent matches
Aston Villa — home
Head-to-head
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 26.05.24 Manchester City – Aston Villa 1-2 (1-0)
- 25.10.26 Aston Villa – Manchester City 1-0 (1-0)
- 25.04.23 Manchester City – Aston Villa 2-1 (1-1)
- 24.12.21 Aston Villa – Manchester City 2-1 (1-0)
- 24.04.04 Manchester City – Aston Villa 4-1 (2-1)
- 23.12.07 Aston Villa – Manchester City 1-0 (0-0)
- 23.02.13 Manchester City – Aston Villa 3-1 (3-0)
- 22.09.04 Aston Villa – Manchester City 1-1 (0-0)