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Newcastle – Aston Villa: predictions and statistics
This prediction was published and locked before the match and will not change.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 1.90 / 1.28
Match preview
Newcastle — Aston Villa: Английн Премьер лиг, 10-р сарын 18, Ням, УБ-ын цагаар 00:30. Цэнгэлдэх: St James' Park.
Standings: Newcastle — position 11 (8 points, 6 played), Aston Villa — position 17 (5 points, 6 played).
Last 5 matches — Newcastle: W D L W L; Aston Villa: D L W D W.
8 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2026.01.25): Newcastle 4 wins, 1 draws, Aston Villa 3 wins.
Model probabilities: Newcastle win 52%, draw 22%, Aston Villa win 26%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 3.18.
Over 2.5 goals probability 62%; both teams to score probability 61%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 52% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 22% |
| Away win (2) | 26% |
| 1X | 74% |
| X2 | 48% |
| 12 | 78% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 4% | 96% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 82% |
| 2.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 3.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 4.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 5.5 | 90% | 10% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 61% | No 39% |
First half
| 1 | 40% |
|---|---|
| X | 37% |
| 2 | 23% |
| Over 0.5 | 76% |
| Over 1.5 | 42% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 30% | – | 70% |
| -1.0 | 30% | 22% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | – | 48% |
| +0.0 | 52% | 22% | 26% |
| +0.5 | 74% | – | 26% |
| +1.0 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | – | 11% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 1:110.0%
- 2:19.6%
- 1:08.0%
- 2:07.5%
- 1:26.5%
- 2:26.2%
Expected goals: Newcastle 1.90 · Aston Villa 1.28
Team statistics
| Newcastlehome | Aston Villaaway | |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 100% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 67% | 67% |
| Both teams to score | 100% | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 33% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 0% | 67% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Newcastle — recent matches
Aston Villa — recent matches
Newcastle — home
Head-to-head
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 26.01.25 Newcastle – Aston Villa 0-2 (0-1)
- 25.08.16 Aston Villa – Newcastle 0-0
- 25.04.20 Aston Villa – Newcastle 4-1 (1-1)
- 24.12.26 Newcastle – Aston Villa 3-0 (1-0)
- 24.01.31 Aston Villa – Newcastle 1-3 (0-2)
- 23.08.13 Newcastle – Aston Villa 5-1 (2-1)
- 23.04.15 Aston Villa – Newcastle 3-0 (1-0)
- 22.10.29 Newcastle – Aston Villa 4-0 (1-0)