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Atletico Nacional – Santa Fe: predictions and statistics
This prediction was published and locked before the match and will not change.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Recent matches · home / away
- 6 / 5
- Days since last match
- 4 / 3
- Sufficient league history
- Yes
- Expected goals · home / away
- 1.58 / 0.82
- Data-dependent strength weight
- 0.93
Match preview
Atletico Nacional — Santa Fe: Colombia · Primera A, 10/30 · Friday, 09:30 Ulaanbaatar time. Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Last 5 matches — Atletico Nacional: W W L W W; Santa Fe: W D L W W.
5 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2025.02.13): Atletico Nacional 2 wins, 3 draws, Santa Fe 0 wins.
Model probabilities: Atletico Nacional win 55%, draw 25%, Santa Fe win 20%. Most likely score 1:0, expected total goals 2.41.
Under 2.5 goals probability 57%; both teams to score probability 45%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 55% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 25% |
| Away win (2) | 20% |
| 1X | 80% |
| X2 | 45% |
| 12 | 75% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 9% | 91% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 2.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 3.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 4.5 | 90% | 10% |
| 5.5 | 96% | 4% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 45% | No 55% |
First half
| 1 | 39% |
|---|---|
| X | 43% |
| 2 | 17% |
| Over 0.5 | 66% |
| Over 1.5 | 30% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 30% | – | 70% |
| -1.0 | 30% | 26% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | – | 45% |
| +0.0 | 55% | 25% | 20% |
| +0.5 | 80% | – | 20% |
| +1.0 | 80% | 13% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | – | 6% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 1:014.3%
- 1:111.7%
- 2:011.3%
- 2:19.3%
- 0:08.9%
- 0:17.5%
Expected goals: Atletico Nacional 1.58 · Santa Fe 0.82
Team statistics
| Atletico Nacionalhome | Santa Feaway | |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 0.75 | 0.50 |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 0% |
| Both teams to score | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 50% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 25% | 50% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Atletico Nacional — recent matches
- 26.10.26 Atletico Nacional – Independiente Medellin 2-1 W
- 26.10.23 Atletico Nacional – Deportivo Pasto 3-0 W
- 26.10.21 Cucuta – Atletico Nacional 1-0 L
- 26.10.18 Chico – Atletico Nacional 1-4 W
- 26.10.15 Atletico Nacional – Independiente Medellin 3-2 W
- 26.10.09 Atletico Nacional – Deportes Tolima 0-0 D
Santa Fe — recent matches
Atletico Nacional — home
Head-to-head
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 25.02.13 Santa Fe – Atletico Nacional 2-2 (2-2)
- 24.12.09 Santa Fe – Atletico Nacional 0-3 (0-2)
- 24.11.21 Atletico Nacional – Santa Fe 5-0 (3-0)
- 24.11.05 Atletico Nacional – Santa Fe 1-1 (1-1)
- 24.04.14 Santa Fe – Atletico Nacional 0-0 (0-0)