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Sturm Graz – Red Bull Salzburg: predictions and statistics
Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 1.61 / 1.25
Match preview
Sturm Graz — Red Bull Salzburg: Австрийн Бундеслига, 5-р сарын 10, Бямба, УБ-ын цагаар 01:30. Цэнгэлдэх: Merkur Arena.
Standings: Sturm Graz — position 1 (59 points, 29 played), Red Bull Salzburg — position 4 (51 points, 29 played).
Last 5 matches — Sturm Graz: W W L L W; Red Bull Salzburg: L W D L W.
7 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2025.04.13): Sturm Graz 2 wins, 3 draws, Red Bull Salzburg 2 wins.
Red Bull Salzburg — 12 consecutive matches scoring.
Model probabilities: Sturm Graz win 44%, draw 28%, Red Bull Salzburg win 28%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.86.
Over 2.5 goals probability 55%; both teams to score probability 59%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 44% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 28% |
| Away win (2) | 28% |
| 1X | 72% |
| X2 | 56% |
| 12 | 72% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 8% | 92% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 80% |
| 2.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 3.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 4.5 | 84% | 16% |
| 5.5 | 93% | 7% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 59% | No 41% |
First half
| 1 | 35% |
|---|---|
| X | 40% |
| 2 | 25% |
| Over 0.5 | 72% |
| Over 1.5 | 37% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 24% | – | 76% |
| -1.0 | 24% | 20% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | – | 56% |
| +0.0 | 44% | 28% | 28% |
| +0.5 | 72% | – | 28% |
| +1.0 | 72% | 15% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | – | 13% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 1:113.4%
- 2:19.3%
- 0:07.5%
- 2:07.4%
- 1:07.3%
- 1:27.2%
Expected goals: Sturm Graz 1.61 · Red Bull Salzburg 1.25
Team statistics
| Sturm Grazhome | Red Bull Salzburgaway | |
| Matches | 6 | 10 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 2.00 | 0.90 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 30% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 20% |
| Both teams to score | 50% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 40% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 17% | 40% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Sturm Graz — recent matches
Red Bull Salzburg — recent matches
Sturm Graz — home
Head-to-head
- 25.04.13 Red Bull Salzburg – Sturm Graz 1-2 (1-0)
- 25.03.03 Red Bull Salzburg – Sturm Graz 3-1 (0-1)
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 24.10.06 Sturm Graz – Red Bull Salzburg 5-0 (2-0)
- 24.04.28 Red Bull Salzburg – Sturm Graz 2-2 (0-2)
- 24.03.31 Sturm Graz – Red Bull Salzburg 0-1 (0-0)
- 24.02.10 Red Bull Salzburg – Sturm Graz 1-1 (1-0)
- 23.09.17 Sturm Graz – Red Bull Salzburg 2-2 (0-1)
Sturm Graz — trends
No notable streaks.
Red Bull Salzburg — trends
Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.