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Austria Vienna – Sturm Graz: predictions and statistics

Австрийн Бундеслига · Аваргын шат · 5-р тойрог 4/24 · Thursday · 02:30
2 : 1
First half 1:1 Finished
PredictionVisitors
Predicted score0:1
Expected goals2.43
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
1.14 / 1.29

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Austria Vienna — Sturm Graz: Австрийн Бундеслига, 4-р сарын 24, Пүрэв, УБ-ын цагаар 02:30. Цэнгэлдэх: Generali Arena.

Standings: Austria Vienna — position 2 (50 points, 26 played), Sturm Graz — position 1 (56 points, 26 played).

Last 5 matches — Austria Vienna: W W D L L; Sturm Graz: W D W W W.

4 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2025.02.08): Austria Vienna 1 wins, 2 draws, Sturm Graz 1 wins.

Model probabilities: Austria Vienna win 31%, draw 31%, Sturm Graz win 38%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.43.

Under 2.5 goals probability 56%; both teams to score probability 51%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)31%
Draw (X)31%
Away win (2)38%
1X62%
X269%
1269%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.511%89%
1.528%72%
2.556%44%
3.577%23%
4.590%10%
5.596%4%
Both teams to scoreYes 51%No 49%

First half

126%
X44%
230%
Over 0.566%
Over 1.530%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 19%5%2% X 12%17%15% 2 2%5%23%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.513%–87%
-1.013%18%69%
-0.531%–69%
+0.031%31%38%
+0.562%–38%
+1.062%20%18%
+1.582%–18%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:114.8%
  2. 0:010.6%
  3. 0:19.6%
  4. 1:28.4%
  5. 1:08.2%
  6. 2:17.4%

Expected goals: Austria Vienna 1.14 · Sturm Graz 1.29

Team statistics

Austria ViennahomeAustria ViennaallSturm GrazallSturm Grazaway
Matches510105
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт1.001.301.801.20
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт1.001.001.401.80
Over 1.560%80%100%100%
Over 2.540%40%70%80%
Over 3.520%20%30%20%
Both teams to score40%40%70%80%
Clean sheets40%40%20%0%
Гоол оруулаагүй40%30%10%20%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Австрийн Бундеслига — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт