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SC Freiburg – Bayer Leverkusen: predictions and statistics

Германы Бундеслига · 32-р тойрог 5/4 · Sunday · 23:30
2 : 2
First half 1:0 Finished
PredictionVisitors
Predicted score1:2
Expected goals2.94
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
1.07 / 1.88

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

SC Freiburg — Bayer Leverkusen: Германы Бундеслига, 5-р сарын 4, Ням, УБ-ын цагаар 23:30. Цэнгэлдэх: Europa-Park Stadion.

Standings: SC Freiburg — position 5 (51 points, 31 played), Bayer Leverkusen — position 2 (67 points, 31 played).

Last 5 matches — SC Freiburg: L L W W W; Bayer Leverkusen: W W D D W.

5 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.12.22): SC Freiburg 1 wins, 1 draws, Bayer Leverkusen 3 wins.

Bayer Leverkusen — 14 matches unbeaten (away).

Model probabilities: SC Freiburg win 20%, draw 25%, Bayer Leverkusen win 55%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.94.

Over 2.5 goals probability 56%; both teams to score probability 57%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)20%
Draw (X)25%
Away win (2)55%
1X45%
X280%
1275%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.57%93%
1.520%80%
2.544%56%
3.566%34%
4.582%18%
5.592%8%
Both teams to scoreYes 57%No 43%

First half

120%
X39%
242%
Over 0.573%
Over 1.538%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 12%5%3% X 8%13%18% 2 1%5%36%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.58%–92%
-1.08%12%80%
-0.520%–80%
+0.020%25%55%
+0.545%–55%
+1.045%22%33%
+1.567%–33%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:111.8%
  2. 1:29.9%
  3. 0:29.3%
  4. 0:18.6%
  5. 0:06.5%
  6. 1:36.2%

Expected goals: SC Freiburg 1.07 · Bayer Leverkusen 1.88

Team statistics

SC FreiburghomeSC FreiburgallBayer LeverkusenallBayer Leverkusenaway
Matches10101010
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт2.101.601.702.10
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт1.501.100.801.00
Over 1.580%60%70%80%
Over 2.580%60%30%50%
Over 3.560%40%30%40%
Both teams to score70%50%40%60%
Clean sheets30%50%50%40%
Гоол оруулаагүй10%20%30%10%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

SC Freiburg — trends

No notable streaks.

Bayer Leverkusen — trends

Unbeaten ×14 (away)Bayer Leverkusen 14 matches unbeaten (away)

Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.

Германы Бундеслига — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт