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FSV Mainz 05 – Holstein Kiel: predictions and statistics
Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 2.46 / 1.11
Match preview
FSV Mainz 05 — Holstein Kiel: Германы Бундеслига, 4-р сарын 5, Бямба, УБ-ын цагаар 21:30. Цэнгэлдэх: MEWA ARENA.
Standings: FSV Mainz 05 — position 4 (45 points, 27 played), Holstein Kiel — position 18 (17 points, 27 played).
Last 5 matches — FSV Mainz 05: W W W D L; Holstein Kiel: L W D L L.
Last 1 head-to-head matches: FSV Mainz 05 1 wins, 0 draws, Holstein Kiel 0 wins.
FSV Mainz 05 — 9 matches unbeaten (home).
Holstein Kiel — 13 consecutive matches scoring (away).
Model probabilities: FSV Mainz 05 win 66%, draw 19%, Holstein Kiel win 15%. Most likely score 2:1, expected total goals 3.57.
Over 2.5 goals probability 69%; both teams to score probability 62%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 66% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 19% |
| Away win (2) | 15% |
| 1X | 85% |
| X2 | 34% |
| 12 | 81% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 4% | 96% |
| 1.5 | 12% | 88% |
| 2.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 3.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 4.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 5.5 | 85% | 15% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 62% | No 38% |
First half
| 1 | 51% |
|---|---|
| X | 33% |
| 2 | 17% |
| Over 0.5 | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 48% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 45% | – | 55% |
| -1.0 | 45% | 21% | 34% |
| -0.5 | 66% | – | 34% |
| +0.0 | 66% | 19% | 15% |
| +0.5 | 85% | – | 15% |
| +1.0 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | – | 6% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 2:19.5%
- 1:18.6%
- 2:08.5%
- 3:17.7%
- 3:07.0%
- 1:06.0%
Expected goals: FSV Mainz 05 2.46 · Holstein Kiel 1.11
Team statistics
| FSV Mainz 05home | Holstein Kielaway | |
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 0.70 | 2.60 |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 70% |
| Both teams to score | 40% | 90% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 10% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 20% | 0% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
FSV Mainz 05 — recent matches
Holstein Kiel — recent matches
FSV Mainz 05 — home
Head-to-head
FSV Mainz 05 — trends
Holstein Kiel — trends
Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.