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Bayer Leverkusen – Bayern München: predictions and statistics
Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 1.91 / 1.69
Match preview
Bayer Leverkusen — Bayern München: Германы Бундеслига, 2-р сарын 16, Ням, УБ-ын цагаар 01:30. Цэнгэлдэх: BayArena.
Standings: Bayer Leverkusen — position 2 (46 points, 21 played), Bayern München — position 1 (54 points, 21 played).
Last 5 matches — Bayer Leverkusen: W W D W D; Bayern München: W W W W W.
5 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.09.29): Bayer Leverkusen 2 wins, 2 draws, Bayern München 1 wins.
Bayer Leverkusen — 19 matches unbeaten.
Bayern München — 7 consecutive wins.
Model probabilities: Bayer Leverkusen win 42%, draw 24%, Bayern München win 33%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 3.60.
Over 2.5 goals probability 70%; both teams to score probability 71%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 42% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 24% |
| Away win (2) | 33% |
| 1X | 67% |
| X2 | 58% |
| 12 | 76% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 4% | 96% |
| 1.5 | 11% | 89% |
| 2.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 3.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 4.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 5.5 | 84% | 16% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 71% | No 29% |
First half
| 1 | 35% |
|---|---|
| X | 35% |
| 2 | 30% |
| Over 0.5 | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 48% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 24% | – | 76% |
| -1.0 | 24% | 18% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | – | 58% |
| +0.0 | 42% | 24% | 33% |
| +0.5 | 67% | – | 33% |
| +1.0 | 67% | 16% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | – | 17% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 1:110.1%
- 2:18.4%
- 1:27.4%
- 2:27.1%
- 3:15.4%
- 2:05.0%
Expected goals: Bayer Leverkusen 1.91 · Bayern München 1.69
Team statistics
| Bayer Leverkusenhome | Bayern Münchenaway | |
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 2.70 | 2.80 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams to score | 80% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 10% | 0% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Bayer Leverkusen — recent matches
- 25.02.08 VfL Wolfsburg – Bayer Leverkusen 0-0 D
- 25.02.03 Bayer Leverkusen – 1899 Hoffenheim 3-1 W
- 25.01.25 RB Leipzig – Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 D
- 25.01.19 Bayer Leverkusen – Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-1 W
- 25.01.15 Bayer Leverkusen – FSV Mainz 05 1-0 W
- 25.01.11 Borussia Dortmund – Bayer Leverkusen 2-3 W
Bayern München — recent matches
Bayer Leverkusen — home
Head-to-head
- 24.09.29 Bayern München – Bayer Leverkusen 1-1 (1-1)
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 24.02.11 Bayer Leverkusen – Bayern München 3-0 (1-0)
- 23.09.16 Bayern München – Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 (1-1)
- 23.03.20 Bayer Leverkusen – Bayern München 2-1 (0-1)
- 22.10.01 Bayern München – Bayer Leverkusen 4-0 (3-0)
Bayer Leverkusen — trends
Bayern München — trends
Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.