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Bayern München – Bayer Leverkusen: predictions and statistics

Германы Бундеслига · 5-р тойрог 9/29 · Sunday · 00:30
1 : 1
First half 1:1 Finished
PredictionHome
Predicted score2:1
Expected goals3.84
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
2.15 / 1.69

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Bayern München — Bayer Leverkusen: Германы Бундеслига, 9-р сарын 29, Ням, УБ-ын цагаар 00:30. Цэнгэлдэх: Allianz Arena.

Standings: Bayern München — position 1 (12 points, 4 played), Bayer Leverkusen — position 4 (9 points, 4 played).

Last 4 matches — Bayern München: W W W W; Bayer Leverkusen: W L W W.

4 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.02.11): Bayern München 1 wins, 1 draws, Bayer Leverkusen 2 wins.

Bayern München — 4 consecutive wins.

Model probabilities: Bayern München win 48%, draw 23%, Bayer Leverkusen win 29%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 3.84.

Over 2.5 goals probability 74%; both teams to score probability 73%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)48%
Draw (X)23%
Away win (2)29%
1X71%
X252%
1277%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.53%97%
1.59%91%
2.526%74%
3.547%53%
4.566%34%
5.581%19%
Both teams to scoreYes 73%No 27%

First half

139%
X33%
227%
Over 0.582%
Over 1.552%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 31%5%3% X 14%10%10% 2 4%5%18%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.529%–71%
-1.029%19%52%
-0.548%–52%
+0.048%23%29%
+0.571%–29%
+1.071%14%15%
+1.585%–15%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:19.0%
  2. 2:18.4%
  3. 2:27.1%
  4. 1:26.6%
  5. 3:16.0%
  6. 3:25.1%

Expected goals: Bayern München 2.15 · Bayer Leverkusen 1.69

Team statistics

Bayern MünchenhomeBayern MünchenallBayer LeverkusenallBayer Leverkusenaway
Matches1442
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт2.004.003.253.50
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт0.000.752.251.50
Over 1.5100%100%100%100%
Over 2.50%75%100%100%
Over 3.50%75%100%100%
Both teams to score0%50%100%100%
Clean sheets100%50%0%0%
Гоол оруулаагүй0%0%0%0%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Bayern München — trends

Ялалт ×4Bayern München 4 consecutive wins

Bayer Leverkusen — trends

No notable streaks.

Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.

Германы Бундеслига — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт