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FSV Mainz 05 – Borussia Dortmund: predictions and statistics

Германы Бундеслига · 10-р тойрог 11/9 · Saturday · 22:30
3 : 1
First half 2:1 Finished
PredictionVisitors
Predicted score1:2
Expected goals3.06
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
1.33 / 1.73

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

FSV Mainz 05 — Borussia Dortmund: Германы Бундеслига, 11-р сарын 9, Бямба, УБ-ын цагаар 22:30. Цэнгэлдэх: MEWA ARENA.

Standings: FSV Mainz 05 — position 13 (10 points, 9 played), Borussia Dortmund — position 6 (16 points, 9 played).

Last 5 matches — FSV Mainz 05: L W L D D; Borussia Dortmund: W L W L W.

4 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.05.12): FSV Mainz 05 1 wins, 2 draws, Borussia Dortmund 1 wins.

Borussia Dortmund — 7 consecutive matches with over 2.5 goals.

Model probabilities: FSV Mainz 05 win 28%, draw 27%, Borussia Dortmund win 45%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 3.06.

Over 2.5 goals probability 59%; both teams to score probability 62%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)28%
Draw (X)27%
Away win (2)45%
1X55%
X272%
1273%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.57%93%
1.517%83%
2.541%59%
3.563%37%
4.580%20%
5.591%9%
Both teams to scoreYes 62%No 38%

First half

125%
X38%
236%
Over 0.575%
Over 1.540%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 17%5%3% X 10%13%15% 2 2%5%29%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.513%–87%
-1.013%15%72%
-0.528%–72%
+0.028%27%45%
+0.555%–45%
+1.055%20%25%
+1.575%–25%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:112.6%
  2. 1:29.3%
  3. 2:17.2%
  4. 0:27.0%
  5. 0:06.5%
  6. 0:16.3%

Expected goals: FSV Mainz 05 1.33 · Borussia Dortmund 1.73

Team statistics

FSV Mainz 05homeFSV Mainz 05allBorussia DortmundallBorussia Dortmundaway
Matches5994
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт0.601.331.890.75
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт1.601.441.672.25
Over 1.5100%89%89%75%
Over 2.520%44%78%75%
Over 3.50%22%33%25%
Both teams to score60%56%78%75%
Clean sheets0%22%22%25%
Гоол оруулаагүй40%33%11%25%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

FSV Mainz 05 — trends

No notable streaks.

Borussia Dortmund — trends

2.5+ ×7Borussia Dortmund 7 consecutive matches with over 2.5 goals
Both teams score ×7Borussia Dortmund both teams scored in the last 7 matches

Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.

Германы Бундеслига — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт