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VfB Stuttgart – Borussia Dortmund: predictions and statistics

Германы Бундеслига · 4-р тойрог 9/22 · Sunday · 23:30
5 : 1
First half 2:0 Finished
PredictionHome
Predicted score2:1
Expected goals3.40
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
1.77 / 1.63

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

VfB Stuttgart — Borussia Dortmund: Германы Бундеслига, 9-р сарын 22, Ням, УБ-ын цагаар 23:30. Цэнгэлдэх: MHPArena.

Standings: VfB Stuttgart — position 11 (4 points, 3 played), Borussia Dortmund — position 6 (7 points, 3 played).

Last 3 matches — VfB Stuttgart: L D W; Borussia Dortmund: W D W.

4 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.04.07): VfB Stuttgart 2 wins, 1 draws, Borussia Dortmund 1 wins.

Model probabilities: VfB Stuttgart win 40%, draw 26%, Borussia Dortmund win 34%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 3.40.

Over 2.5 goals probability 66%; both teams to score probability 68%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)40%
Draw (X)26%
Away win (2)34%
1X66%
X260%
1274%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.55%95%
1.513%87%
2.534%66%
3.556%44%
4.574%26%
5.587%13%
Both teams to scoreYes 68%No 32%

First half

134%
X36%
230%
Over 0.578%
Over 1.545%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 25%5%3% X 13%12%12% 2 3%5%21%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.522%–78%
-1.022%18%60%
-0.540%–60%
+0.040%26%34%
+0.566%–34%
+1.066%17%18%
+1.582%–18%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:111.1%
  2. 2:18.5%
  3. 1:27.9%
  4. 2:26.9%
  5. 2:05.2%
  6. 3:15.0%

Expected goals: VfB Stuttgart 1.77 · Borussia Dortmund 1.63

Team statistics

VfB StuttgarthomeVfB StuttgartallBorussia DortmundallBorussia Dortmundaway
Matches1331
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт3.002.332.000.00
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт3.002.330.670.00
Over 1.5100%100%67%0%
Over 2.5100%100%33%0%
Over 3.5100%100%33%0%
Both teams to score100%100%33%0%
Clean sheets0%0%67%100%
Гоол оруулаагүй0%0%33%100%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Германы Бундеслига — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт