The last saved data is shown below. Scores and statuses may change at the next refresh.
Alaves – Rayo Vallecano: predictions and statistics
Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 1.11 / 0.87
Match preview
Alaves — Rayo Vallecano: Испанийн Ла Лига, 3-р сарын 30, Ням, УБ-ын цагаар 01:30. Цэнгэлдэх: Estadio de Mendizorroza.
Standings: Alaves — position 17 (27 points, 28 played), Rayo Vallecano — position 10 (37 points, 28 played).
Last 5 matches — Alaves: D L D W D; Rayo Vallecano: L L D L D.
3 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.10.26): Alaves 1 wins, 0 draws, Rayo Vallecano 2 wins.
Alaves — 8 consecutive matches with under 2.5 goals (home).
Model probabilities: Alaves win 41%, draw 31%, Rayo Vallecano win 28%. Most likely score 1:0, expected total goals 1.99.
Under 2.5 goals probability 68%; both teams to score probability 39%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 41% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 31% |
| Away win (2) | 28% |
| 1X | 72% |
| X2 | 59% |
| 12 | 69% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 14% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 2.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 95% | 5% |
| 5.5 | 98% | 2% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 39% | No 61% |
First half
| 1 | 29% |
|---|---|
| X | 49% |
| 2 | 22% |
| Over 0.5 | 59% |
| Over 1.5 | 23% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 17% | – | 83% |
| -1.0 | 17% | 24% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | – | 59% |
| +0.0 | 41% | 31% | 28% |
| +0.5 | 72% | – | 28% |
| +1.0 | 72% | 19% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | – | 10% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 1:015.0%
- 0:013.9%
- 1:113.5%
- 0:111.8%
- 2:08.5%
- 2:17.4%
Expected goals: Alaves 1.11 · Rayo Vallecano 0.87
Team statistics
| Alaveshome | Rayo Vallecanoaway | |
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 0.70 | 1.30 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 30% |
| Both teams to score | 40% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 40% | 10% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Alaves — recent matches
Rayo Vallecano — recent matches
Alaves — home
Head-to-head
- 24.10.26 Rayo Vallecano – Alaves 1-0 (0-0)
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 24.03.10 Alaves – Rayo Vallecano 1-0 (1-0)
- 23.09.16 Rayo Vallecano – Alaves 2-0 (1-0)
Alaves — trends
Rayo Vallecano — trends
No notable streaks.
Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.