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Rayo Vallecano – Alaves: predictions and statistics

Испанийн Ла Лига · 11-р тойрог 10/26 · Saturday · 22:15
1 : 0
First half 0:0 Finished

Alaves

WLLLL
PredictionHome
Predicted score1:0
Expected goals2.00
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
1.11 / 0.89

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Rayo Vallecano — Alaves: Испанийн Ла Лига, 10-р сарын 26, Бямба, УБ-ын цагаар 22:15. Цэнгэлдэх: Estadio de Vallecas.

Standings: Rayo Vallecano — position 10 (13 points, 10 played), Alaves — position 14 (10 points, 10 played).

Last 5 matches — Rayo Vallecano: D D D W L; Alaves: W L L L L.

2 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.03.10): Rayo Vallecano 1 wins, 0 draws, Alaves 1 wins.

Alaves — 4 consecutive losses.

Model probabilities: Rayo Vallecano win 41%, draw 31%, Alaves win 29%. Most likely score 1:0, expected total goals 2.00.

Under 2.5 goals probability 68%; both teams to score probability 39%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)41%
Draw (X)31%
Away win (2)29%
1X71%
X259%
1269%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.514%86%
1.541%59%
2.568%32%
3.586%14%
4.595%5%
5.598%2%
Both teams to scoreYes 39%No 61%

First half

129%
X49%
222%
Over 0.559%
Over 1.523%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 23%4%1% X 16%22%12% 2 2%4%16%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.517%–83%
-1.017%24%59%
-0.541%–59%
+0.041%31%29%
+0.571%–29%
+1.071%19%10%
+1.590%–10%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:015.1%
  2. 0:013.5%
  3. 1:113.4%
  4. 0:112.0%
  5. 2:08.4%
  6. 2:17.4%

Expected goals: Rayo Vallecano 1.11 · Alaves 0.89

Team statistics

Rayo VallecanohomeRayo VallecanoallAlavesallAlavesaway
Matches410105
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт1.501.101.301.40
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт1.251.001.802.20
Over 1.5100%70%90%100%
Over 2.550%50%70%80%
Over 3.525%10%30%40%
Both teams to score100%70%60%80%
Clean sheets0%20%20%0%
Гоол оруулаагүй0%30%30%20%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Rayo Vallecano — trends

No notable streaks.

Alaves — trends

Losses ×4Alaves 4 consecutive losses

Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.

Испанийн Ла Лига — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт