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Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Machida Zelvia: predictions and statistics
Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 1.09 / 1.05
Match preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Machida Zelvia: Японы J1 лиг, 9-р сарын 28, Бямба, УБ-ын цагаар 18:00. Цэнгэлдэх: Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
Standings: Sanfrecce Hiroshima — position 1 (59 points, 31 played), Machida Zelvia — position 2 (59 points, 31 played).
Last 5 matches — Sanfrecce Hiroshima: W W W D W; Machida Zelvia: W D D W D.
Last 1 head-to-head matches: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1 wins, 0 draws, Machida Zelvia 0 wins.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima — 27 consecutive matches scoring.
Machida Zelvia — 4 consecutive clean sheets (away).
Model probabilities: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win 36%, draw 31%, Machida Zelvia win 34%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.14.
Under 2.5 goals probability 64%; both teams to score probability 44%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 36% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 31% |
| Away win (2) | 34% |
| 1X | 66% |
| X2 | 64% |
| 12 | 69% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 12% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 83% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 93% | 7% |
| 5.5 | 98% | 2% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 44% | No 56% |
First half
| 1 | 27% |
|---|---|
| X | 48% |
| 2 | 26% |
| Over 0.5 | 62% |
| Over 1.5 | 25% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 14% | – | 86% |
| -1.0 | 14% | 21% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | – | 64% |
| +0.0 | 36% | 31% | 34% |
| +0.5 | 66% | – | 34% |
| +1.0 | 66% | 20% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | – | 13% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 1:113.9%
- 1:012.4%
- 0:012.3%
- 0:111.9%
- 2:17.3%
- 1:27.1%
Expected goals: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.09 · Machida Zelvia 1.05
Team statistics
| Sanfrecce Hiroshimahome | Machida Zelviaaway | |
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 2.30 | 1.50 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.20 | 0.30 |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 20% |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 70% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 0% | 40% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima — recent matches
- 24.09.22 Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Yokohama F. Marinos 6-2 W
- 24.09.14 Kashima – Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-2 D
- 24.08.31 Sanfrecce Hiroshima – FC Tokyo 3-2 W
- 24.08.25 Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Kashiwa Reysol 2-0 W
- 24.08.17 Nagoya Grampus – Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-2 W
- 24.08.11 Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Cerezo Osaka 2-0 W
Machida Zelvia — recent matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima — home
Head-to-head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima — trends
Machida Zelvia — trends
Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.