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Albirex Niigata – Shonan Bellmare: predictions and statistics

Японы J1 лиг · 30-р тойрог 9/14 · Saturday · 18:00
3 : 1
First half 2:0 Finished
PredictionHome
Predicted score1:0
Expected goals2.54
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
1.43 / 1.11

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Albirex Niigata — Shonan Bellmare: Японы J1 лиг, 9-р сарын 14, Бямба, УБ-ын цагаар 18:00. Цэнгэлдэх: Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Standings: Albirex Niigata — position 15 (36 points, 28 played), Shonan Bellmare — position 17 (32 points, 29 played).

Last 5 matches — Albirex Niigata: W D W W D; Shonan Bellmare: D W L L W.

3 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.05.19): Albirex Niigata 0 wins, 2 draws, Shonan Bellmare 1 wins.

Albirex Niigata — 3 consecutive clean sheets.

Shonan Bellmare — 4 consecutive wins (away).

Model probabilities: Albirex Niigata win 44%, draw 27%, Shonan Bellmare win 29%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.54.

Under 2.5 goals probability 53%; both teams to score probability 51%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)44%
Draw (X)27%
Away win (2)29%
1X71%
X256%
1273%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.58%92%
1.528%72%
2.553%47%
3.575%25%
4.589%11%
5.596%4%
Both teams to scoreYes 51%No 49%

First half

133%
X43%
224%
Over 0.568%
Over 1.532%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 27%5%2% X 16%16%11% 2 2%5%16%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.522%–78%
-1.022%23%56%
-0.544%–56%
+0.044%27%29%
+0.571%–29%
+1.071%17%11%
+1.589%–11%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:112.8%
  2. 1:011.0%
  3. 2:19.0%
  4. 0:18.4%
  5. 0:08.2%
  6. 2:08.1%

Expected goals: Albirex Niigata 1.43 · Shonan Bellmare 1.11

Team statistics

Albirex NiigatahomeAlbirex NiigataallShonan BellmareallShonan Bellmareaway
Matches10101010
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт1.701.401.501.60
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт1.901.200.901.60
Over 1.590%70%60%80%
Over 2.570%40%40%60%
Over 3.560%30%20%40%
Both teams to score80%50%50%80%
Clean sheets20%40%30%20%
Гоол оруулаагүй10%20%20%0%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Albirex Niigata — trends

Clean sheets ×3Albirex Niigata 3 consecutive clean sheets

Shonan Bellmare — trends

Ялалт ×4 (зочинд)Shonan Bellmare 4 consecutive wins (away)
Scored ×11 (away)Shonan Bellmare 11 consecutive matches scoring (away)

Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.

Японы J1 лиг — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт