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Cerezo Osaka – Nagoya Grampus: predictions and statistics
Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 1.13 / 0.83
Match preview
Cerezo Osaka — Nagoya Grampus: Японы J1 лиг, 6-р сарын 30, Ням, УБ-ын цагаар 17:00. Цэнгэлдэх: Yodoko Sakura Stadium.
Standings: Cerezo Osaka — position 7 (32 points, 20 played), Nagoya Grampus — position 11 (27 points, 20 played).
Last 5 matches — Cerezo Osaka: D D W D W; Nagoya Grampus: D L D L L.
5 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.04.21): Cerezo Osaka 1 wins, 0 draws, Nagoya Grampus 4 wins.
Model probabilities: Cerezo Osaka win 42%, draw 32%, Nagoya Grampus win 26%. Most likely score 1:0, expected total goals 1.96.
Under 2.5 goals probability 69%; both teams to score probability 39%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 42% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 32% |
| Away win (2) | 26% |
| 1X | 74% |
| X2 | 58% |
| 12 | 68% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 15% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 2.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 95% | 5% |
| 5.5 | 98% | 2% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 39% | No 61% |
First half
| 1 | 30% |
|---|---|
| X | 50% |
| 2 | 20% |
| Over 0.5 | 59% |
| Over 1.5 | 22% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 18% | – | 82% |
| -1.0 | 18% | 24% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | – | 58% |
| +0.0 | 42% | 32% | 26% |
| +0.5 | 74% | – | 26% |
| +1.0 | 74% | 18% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | – | 9% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 1:015.4%
- 0:014.6%
- 1:113.7%
- 0:111.2%
- 2:09.0%
- 2:17.5%
Expected goals: Cerezo Osaka 1.13 · Nagoya Grampus 0.83
Team statistics
| Cerezo Osakahome | Nagoya Grampusaway | |
| Matches | 10 | 9 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 11% |
| Both teams to score | 70% | 44% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 33% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 0% | 22% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Cerezo Osaka — recent matches
Nagoya Grampus — recent matches
Cerezo Osaka — home
Head-to-head
- 24.04.21 Nagoya Grampus – Cerezo Osaka 2-1 (0-0)
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 23.08.26 Cerezo Osaka – Nagoya Grampus 3-1 (1-1)
- 23.06.03 Nagoya Grampus – Cerezo Osaka 3-1 (3-1)
- 22.11.05 Cerezo Osaka – Nagoya Grampus 0-1 (0-0)
- 22.05.14 Nagoya Grampus – Cerezo Osaka 1-0 (1-0)