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Ethiopian Medhin – Mekelakeya: predictions and statistics
This prediction was published and locked before the match and will not change.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Recent matches · home / away
- 2 / 3
- Days since last match
- 10 / 5
- Sufficient league history
- Yes
- Expected goals · home / away
- 1.06 / 0.73
- Data-dependent strength weight
- 0.73
Match preview
Ethiopian Medhin — Mekelakeya: Ethiopia · Premier League, 10/27 · Tuesday, 20:00 Ulaanbaatar time.
Recent matches — Ethiopian Medhin (2): W D; Mekelakeya (3): W L W.
2 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2025.06.10): Ethiopian Medhin 1 wins, 1 draws, Mekelakeya 0 wins.
Model probabilities: Ethiopian Medhin win 42%, draw 33%, Mekelakeya win 25%. Most likely score 1:0, expected total goals 1.79.
Under 2.5 goals probability 73%; both teams to score probability 34%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 42% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 33% |
| Away win (2) | 25% |
| 1X | 75% |
| X2 | 58% |
| 12 | 67% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 17% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 96% | 4% |
| 5.5 | 99% | 1% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 34% | No 66% |
First half
| 1 | 29% |
|---|---|
| X | 52% |
| 2 | 19% |
| Over 0.5 | 55% |
| Over 1.5 | 19% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 17% | – | 83% |
| -1.0 | 17% | 25% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | – | 58% |
| +0.0 | 42% | 33% | 25% |
| +0.5 | 75% | – | 25% |
| +1.0 | 75% | 17% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | – | 7% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 1:017.3%
- 0:017.0%
- 1:113.3%
- 0:111.9%
- 2:09.4%
- 2:16.9%
Expected goals: Ethiopian Medhin 1.06 · Mekelakeya 0.73
Team statistics
| Ethiopian Medhinhome | Mekelakeyaaway | |
| Matches | – | 2 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | – | 1.00 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | – | 0.00 |
| Over 1.5 | – | 0% |
| Over 2.5 | – | 0% |
| Over 3.5 | – | 0% |
| Both teams to score | – | 0% |
| Clean sheets | – | 100% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | – | 0% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Ethiopian Medhin — recent matches
Mekelakeya — recent matches
Ethiopian Medhin — home
- Энэ хугацаанд гэртээ тоглосон тоглолт манай санд алга
Head-to-head
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 25.06.10 Ethiopian Medhin – Mekelakeya 2-0 (1-0)
- 24.12.11 Mekelakeya – Ethiopian Medhin 0-0 (0-0)