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Deren – Erchim: predictions and statistics
This prediction was published and locked before the match and will not change.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 2.65 / 1.76
Match preview
Deren — Erchim: Монголын Үндэсний Премьер лиг, 10-р сарын 14, Лхагва, УБ-ын цагаар 13:00.
Recent matches — Deren (2): D L; Erchim (1): L.
8 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.05.16): Deren 5 wins, 2 draws, Erchim 1 wins.
Model probabilities: Deren win 57%, draw 18%, Erchim win 25%. Most likely score 2:1, expected total goals 4.41.
Over 2.5 goals probability 82%; both teams to score probability 77%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 57% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 18% |
| Away win (2) | 25% |
| 1X | 75% |
| X2 | 43% |
| 12 | 82% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 1% | 99% |
| 1.5 | 7% | 93% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 82% |
| 3.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 4.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 5.5 | 72% | 28% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 77% | No 23% |
First half
| 1 | 45% |
|---|---|
| X | 30% |
| 2 | 24% |
| Over 0.5 | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 59% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 38% | – | 62% |
| -1.0 | 38% | 20% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | – | 43% |
| +0.0 | 57% | 18% | 25% |
| +0.5 | 75% | – | 25% |
| +1.0 | 75% | 13% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | – | 12% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 2:17.5%
- 3:16.6%
- 2:26.6%
- 3:25.8%
- 1:15.4%
- 1:25.0%
Expected goals: Deren 2.65 · Erchim 1.76
Team statistics
| Derenhome | Erchimaway | |
| Matches | 1 | – |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 3.00 | – |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 3.00 | – |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 100% | – |
| Over 3.5 | 100% | – |
| Both teams to score | 100% | – |
| Clean sheets | 0% | – |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 0% | – |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Deren — recent matches
Erchim — recent matches
Deren — home
Erchim — away
- Энэ хугацаанд зочинд тоглосон тоглолт манай санд алга
Head-to-head
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 24.05.16 Erchim – Deren 1-6 (0-2)
- 24.03.17 Deren – Erchim 7-0 (4-0)
- 23.08.17 Erchim – Deren 0-0 (0-0)
- 23.07.02 Erchim – Deren 0-5 (0-3)
- 23.05.02 Deren – Erchim 5-0 (0-0)
- 22.10.29 Erchim – Deren 2-3 (2-1)
- 22.06.22 Deren – Erchim 1-4 (0-1)
- 22.04.23 Erchim – Deren 1-1 (1-0)