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NEC Nijmegen – Fortuna Sittard: predictions and statistics
This prediction was published and locked before the match and will not change.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 1.81 / 0.89
Match preview
NEC Nijmegen — Fortuna Sittard: Нидерландын Eredivisie, 10-р сарын 19, Даваа, УБ-ын цагаар 02:00. Цэнгэлдэх: Stadion de Goffert.
Standings: NEC Nijmegen — position 11 (9 points, 8 played), Fortuna Sittard — position 7 (14 points, 8 played).
Last 5 matches — NEC Nijmegen: D L D D D; Fortuna Sittard: W W L W D.
8 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2026.03.01): NEC Nijmegen 3 wins, 3 draws, Fortuna Sittard 2 wins.
NEC Nijmegen — 3 consecutive draws.
Model probabilities: NEC Nijmegen win 58%, draw 25%, Fortuna Sittard win 17%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.70.
Over 2.5 goals probability 51%; both teams to score probability 50%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 58% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 25% |
| Away win (2) | 17% |
| 1X | 83% |
| X2 | 42% |
| 12 | 75% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 8% | 92% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 76% |
| 2.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 3.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 4.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 5.5 | 94% | 6% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 50% | No 50% |
First half
| 1 | 43% |
|---|---|
| X | 40% |
| 2 | 17% |
| Over 0.5 | 70% |
| Over 1.5 | 34% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 34% | – | 66% |
| -1.0 | 34% | 24% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | – | 42% |
| +0.0 | 58% | 25% | 17% |
| +0.5 | 83% | – | 17% |
| +1.0 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | – | 6% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 1:111.7%
- 1:011.3%
- 2:011.0%
- 2:19.8%
- 0:07.6%
- 3:06.6%
Expected goals: NEC Nijmegen 1.81 · Fortuna Sittard 0.89
Team statistics
| NEC Nijmegenhome | Fortuna Sittardaway | |
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.20 | 2.25 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.80 | 1.50 |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 75% |
| Both teams to score | 100% | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 25% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 0% | 0% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
NEC Nijmegen — recent matches
Fortuna Sittard — recent matches
NEC Nijmegen — home
Head-to-head
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 26.03.01 NEC Nijmegen – Fortuna Sittard 2-3 (1-1)
- 25.08.31 Fortuna Sittard – NEC Nijmegen 3-2 (2-1)
- 25.01.19 NEC Nijmegen – Fortuna Sittard 4-1 (1-1)
- 24.09.01 Fortuna Sittard – NEC Nijmegen 0-3 (0-2)
- 24.04.03 Fortuna Sittard – NEC Nijmegen 1-1 (0-0)
- 23.12.16 NEC Nijmegen – Fortuna Sittard 4-1 (2-0)
- 23.05.28 Fortuna Sittard – NEC Nijmegen 1-1 (0-0)
- 22.09.10 NEC Nijmegen – Fortuna Sittard 1-1 (0-0)
NEC Nijmegen — trends
Fortuna Sittard — trends
No notable streaks.
Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.