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Vasco DA Gama – Corinthians: predictions and statistics
This prediction was published and locked before the match and will not change.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 1.38 / 1.15
Match preview
Vasco DA Gama — Corinthians: Бразилийн Сери А, 10-р сарын 25, Ням, УБ-ын цагаар 05:30. Цэнгэлдэх: São Januário.
Standings: Vasco DA Gama — position 16 (35 points, 30 played), Corinthians — position 17 (33 points, 31 played).
Last 5 matches — Vasco DA Gama: W D W L L; Corinthians: L L L L D.
7 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2026.04.27): Vasco DA Gama 1 wins, 0 draws, Corinthians 6 wins.
Corinthians — 9 matches without a win.
Model probabilities: Vasco DA Gama win 42%, draw 26%, Corinthians win 31%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.53.
Under 2.5 goals probability 54%; both teams to score probability 51%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 42% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 26% |
| Away win (2) | 31% |
| 1X | 69% |
| X2 | 58% |
| 12 | 74% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 8% | 92% |
| 1.5 | 28% | 72% |
| 2.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 3.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 5.5 | 96% | 4% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 51% | No 49% |
First half
| 1 | 32% |
|---|---|
| X | 43% |
| 2 | 25% |
| Over 0.5 | 68% |
| Over 1.5 | 32% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 20% | – | 80% |
| -1.0 | 20% | 23% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | – | 58% |
| +0.0 | 42% | 26% | 31% |
| +0.5 | 69% | – | 31% |
| +1.0 | 69% | 19% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | – | 13% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 1:112.4%
- 1:011.2%
- 0:19.3%
- 2:18.7%
- 0:07.8%
- 2:07.6%
Expected goals: Vasco DA Gama 1.38 · Corinthians 1.15
Team statistics
| Vasco DA Gamahome | Corinthiansaway | |
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.30 | 1.20 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.30 | 1.70 |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 30% |
| Both teams to score | 40% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 40% | 10% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Vasco DA Gama — recent matches
Corinthians — recent matches
Vasco DA Gama — home
Head-to-head
- 26.04.27 Corinthians – Vasco DA Gama 1-0 (1-0)
- 25.08.25 Vasco DA Gama – Corinthians 2-3 (0-1)
- 25.04.06 Corinthians – Vasco DA Gama 3-0 (2-0)
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 24.11.25 Corinthians – Vasco DA Gama 3-1 (3-0)
- 24.07.11 Vasco DA Gama – Corinthians 2-0 (0-0)
- 23.11.29 Vasco DA Gama – Corinthians 2-4 (2-2)
- 23.07.30 Corinthians – Vasco DA Gama 3-1 (1-0)
Vasco DA Gama — trends
No notable streaks.
Corinthians — trends
Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.