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Crystal Palace – Manchester City: predictions and statistics

FA Cup (England) · Final 5/17 · Saturday · 23:30
1 : 0
First half 1:0 Finished
PredictionVisitors
Predicted score0:1
Expected goals2.71
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
1.08 / 1.63

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Crystal Palace — Manchester City: FA Cup (England), 5/17 · Saturday, 23:30 Ulaanbaatar time. Venue: Wembley Stadium.

Last 5 matches — Crystal Palace: D D W D W; Manchester City: W W W W D.

6 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2025.04.12): Crystal Palace 0 wins, 2 draws, Manchester City 4 wins.

Manchester City — 4 consecutive clean sheets (away).

Model probabilities: Crystal Palace win 25%, draw 25%, Manchester City win 50%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 2.71.

Over 2.5 goals probability 51%; both teams to score probability 53%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)25%
Draw (X)25%
Away win (2)50%
1X50%
X275%
1275%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.57%93%
1.525%75%
2.549%51%
3.571%29%
4.586%14%
5.594%6%
Both teams to scoreYes 53%No 47%

First half

122%
X41%
237%
Over 0.570%
Over 1.534%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 14%5%3% X 9%15%17% 2 2%5%31%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.59%–91%
-1.09%16%75%
-0.525%–75%
+0.025%25%50%
+0.550%–50%
+1.050%24%27%
+1.573%–27%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:111.7%
  2. 0:110.9%
  3. 1:29.5%
  4. 0:28.9%
  5. 1:07.3%
  6. 0:06.6%

Expected goals: Crystal Palace 1.08 · Manchester City 1.63

Team statistics

Crystal PalacehomeCrystal PalaceallManchester CityallManchester Cityaway
Matches10101010
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт1.701.601.801.60
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт0.801.500.600.80
Over 1.570%90%70%60%
Over 2.560%60%40%40%
Over 3.520%30%20%20%
Both teams to score60%50%40%30%
Clean sheets40%40%60%60%
Гоол оруулаагүй10%20%20%30%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Crystal Palace — trends

No notable streaks.

Manchester City — trends

Clean sheets ×4 (away)Manchester City 4 consecutive clean sheets (away)
Unbeaten ×10Manchester City 10 matches unbeaten

Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.