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Moreirense – Rio Ave: predictions and statistics

Португалийн Primeira Liga · 29-р тойрог 4/14 · Monday · 03:30
0 : 2
First half 0:0 Finished

Rio Ave

WLLLL
PredictionHome
Predicted score1:0
Expected goals2.32
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
1.36 / 0.96

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Moreirense — Rio Ave: Португалийн Primeira Liga, 4-р сарын 14, Даваа, УБ-ын цагаар 03:30. Цэнгэлдэх: Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas.

Standings: Moreirense — position 10 (35 points, 28 played), Rio Ave — position 13 (29 points, 28 played).

Last 5 matches — Moreirense: D D W D W; Rio Ave: W L L L L.

3 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.11.30): Moreirense 1 wins, 1 draws, Rio Ave 1 wins.

Rio Ave — 17 consecutive matches conceding.

Model probabilities: Moreirense win 47%, draw 26%, Rio Ave win 27%. Most likely score 1:0, expected total goals 2.32.

Under 2.5 goals probability 59%; both teams to score probability 45%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)47%
Draw (X)26%
Away win (2)27%
1X73%
X253%
1274%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.59%91%
1.533%67%
2.559%41%
3.580%20%
4.591%9%
5.597%3%
Both teams to scoreYes 45%No 55%

First half

133%
X45%
221%
Over 0.565%
Over 1.528%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 27%5%1% X 17%18%10% 2 2%5%15%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.522%–78%
-1.022%25%53%
-0.547%–53%
+0.047%26%27%
+0.573%–27%
+1.073%18%9%
+1.591%–9%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:014.2%
  2. 1:112.1%
  3. 0:110.2%
  4. 2:09.1%
  5. 0:09.1%
  6. 2:18.7%

Expected goals: Moreirense 1.36 · Rio Ave 0.96

Team statistics

MoreirensehomeMoreirenseallRio AveallRio Aveaway
Matches10101010
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт1.401.201.200.80
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт1.401.401.601.50
Over 1.580%70%90%70%
Over 2.560%40%60%40%
Over 3.530%30%20%10%
Both teams to score70%60%80%50%
Clean sheets20%20%0%10%
Гоол оруулаагүй20%20%20%40%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Moreirense — trends

No notable streaks.

Rio Ave — trends

Conceded ×17Rio Ave 17 consecutive matches conceding
Losses ×4Rio Ave 4 consecutive losses

Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.

Португалийн Primeira Liga — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт