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Borussia Dortmund – Werder Bremen: predictions and statistics
Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 2.43 / 1.24
Match preview
Borussia Dortmund — Werder Bremen: Германы Бундеслига, 1-р сарын 25, Бямба, УБ-ын цагаар 22:30. Цэнгэлдэх: SIGNAL IDUNA PARK.
Standings: Borussia Dortmund — position 10 (25 points, 18 played), Werder Bremen — position 9 (26 points, 18 played).
Last 5 matches — Borussia Dortmund: D W L L L; Werder Bremen: W W L D L.
5 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.08.31): Borussia Dortmund 3 wins, 1 draws, Werder Bremen 1 wins.
Model probabilities: Borussia Dortmund win 62%, draw 20%, Werder Bremen win 17%. Most likely score 2:1, expected total goals 3.67.
Over 2.5 goals probability 71%; both teams to score probability 66%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 62% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 20% |
| Away win (2) | 17% |
| 1X | 83% |
| X2 | 38% |
| 12 | 80% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 4% | 96% |
| 1.5 | 11% | 89% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 71% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 5.5 | 83% | 17% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 66% | No 34% |
First half
| 1 | 48% |
|---|---|
| X | 33% |
| 2 | 19% |
| Over 0.5 | 81% |
| Over 1.5 | 49% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 42% | – | 58% |
| -1.0 | 42% | 21% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | – | 38% |
| +0.0 | 62% | 20% | 17% |
| +0.5 | 83% | – | 17% |
| +1.0 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | – | 7% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 2:19.3%
- 1:18.7%
- 3:17.5%
- 2:07.5%
- 3:06.1%
- 2:25.8%
Expected goals: Borussia Dortmund 2.43 · Werder Bremen 1.24
Team statistics
| Borussia Dortmundhome | Werder Bremenaway | |
| Matches | 9 | 9 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 2.44 | 2.00 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 1.22 | 1.89 |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 56% |
| Both teams to score | 78% | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 22% | 22% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 0% | 11% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Borussia Dortmund — recent matches
- 25.01.18 Eintracht Frankfurt – Borussia Dortmund 2-0 L
- 25.01.15 Holstein Kiel – Borussia Dortmund 4-2 L
- 25.01.11 Borussia Dortmund – Bayer Leverkusen 2-3 L
- 24.12.23 VfL Wolfsburg – Borussia Dortmund 1-3 W
- 24.12.16 Borussia Dortmund – 1899 Hoffenheim 1-1 D
- 24.12.08 Borussia Mönchengladbach – Borussia Dortmund 1-1 D
Werder Bremen — recent matches
Borussia Dortmund — home
Head-to-head
- 24.08.31 Werder Bremen – Borussia Dortmund 0-0 (0-0)
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 24.03.10 Werder Bremen – Borussia Dortmund 1-2 (0-2)
- 23.10.21 Borussia Dortmund – Werder Bremen 1-0 (0-0)
- 23.02.11 Werder Bremen – Borussia Dortmund 0-2 (0-0)
- 22.08.20 Borussia Dortmund – Werder Bremen 2-3 (1-0)