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Atalanta – Fiorentina: predictions and statistics

Италийн Сери А · 4-р тойрог 9/15 · Sunday · 21:00
3 : 2
First half 3:2 Finished
PredictionHome
Predicted score2:1
Expected goals3.18
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
1.88 / 1.30

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Atalanta — Fiorentina: Италийн Сери А, 9-р сарын 15, Ням, УБ-ын цагаар 21:00. Цэнгэлдэх: Gewiss Stadium.

Standings: Atalanta — position 13 (3 points, 3 played), Fiorentina — position 12 (3 points, 3 played).

Last 3 matches — Atalanta: W L L; Fiorentina: D D D.

4 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.06.03): Atalanta 1 wins, 1 draws, Fiorentina 2 wins.

Fiorentina — 3 consecutive draws.

Model probabilities: Atalanta win 50%, draw 24%, Fiorentina win 26%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 3.18.

Over 2.5 goals probability 62%; both teams to score probability 62%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)50%
Draw (X)24%
Away win (2)26%
1X74%
X250%
1276%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.55%95%
1.517%83%
2.538%62%
3.561%39%
4.578%22%
5.590%10%
Both teams to scoreYes 62%No 38%

First half

139%
X37%
224%
Over 0.576%
Over 1.542%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 32%5%2% X 16%12%9% 2 3%5%15%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.529%–71%
-1.029%21%50%
-0.550%–50%
+0.050%24%26%
+0.574%–26%
+1.074%15%11%
+1.589%–11%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:110.9%
  2. 2:19.6%
  3. 2:07.4%
  4. 1:07.1%
  5. 1:26.6%
  6. 2:26.2%

Expected goals: Atalanta 1.88 · Fiorentina 1.30

Team statistics

AtalantahomeAtalantaallFiorentinaallFiorentinaaway
Matches–331
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт–1.671.001.00
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт–2.001.001.00
Over 1.5–100%67%100%
Over 2.5–100%33%0%
Over 3.5–67%33%0%
Both teams to score–33%67%100%
Clean sheets–33%33%0%
Гоол оруулаагүй–33%33%0%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Atalanta — home

  • Энэ хугацаанд гэртээ тоглосон тоглолт манай санд алга

Head-to-head

Atalanta — trends

No notable streaks.

Fiorentina — trends

Draws ×3Fiorentina 3 consecutive draws

Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.

Италийн Сери А — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт