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Morecambe – Swindon Town: predictions and statistics

Английн League Two · 39-р тойрог 3/29 · Saturday · 23:00
1 : 0
First half 1:0 Finished
PredictionVisitors
Predicted score1:2
Expected goals3.05
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
1.48 / 1.58

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Morecambe — Swindon Town: Английн League Two, 3-р сарын 29, Бямба, УБ-ын цагаар 23:00. Цэнгэлдэх: Mazuma Mobile Stadium.

Standings: Morecambe — position 24 (30 points, 38 played), Swindon Town — position 15 (48 points, 38 played).

Last 5 matches — Morecambe: L W L D L; Swindon Town: W D D D D.

3 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.11.23): Morecambe 1 wins, 2 draws, Swindon Town 0 wins.

Swindon Town — 4 consecutive draws.

Model probabilities: Morecambe win 36%, draw 24%, Swindon Town win 40%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 3.05.

Over 2.5 goals probability 59%; both teams to score probability 61%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)36%
Draw (X)24%
Away win (2)40%
1X60%
X264%
1276%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.55%95%
1.519%81%
2.541%59%
3.564%36%
4.581%19%
5.591%9%
Both teams to scoreYes 61%No 39%

First half

129%
X39%
232%
Over 0.575%
Over 1.540%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 21%5%3% X 12%13%13% 2 2%5%24%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.517%–83%
-1.017%19%64%
-0.536%–64%
+0.036%24%40%
+0.560%–40%
+1.060%20%20%
+1.580%–20%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:110.9%
  2. 1:28.7%
  3. 2:18.1%
  4. 0:17.6%
  5. 1:07.1%
  6. 2:26.4%

Expected goals: Morecambe 1.48 · Swindon Town 1.58

Team statistics

MorecambehomeMorecambeallSwindon TownallSwindon Townaway
Matches10101010
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт1.100.702.001.20
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт1.301.301.301.40
Over 1.570%60%60%70%
Over 2.530%30%60%40%
Over 3.520%10%60%30%
Both teams to score20%30%60%50%
Clean sheets30%20%30%10%
Гоол оруулаагүй50%50%20%40%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Morecambe — trends

No notable streaks.

Swindon Town — trends

Draws ×4Swindon Town 4 consecutive draws

Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.

Английн League Two — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт