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Swindon Town – Newport County: predictions and statistics

Английн League Two · 6-р тойрог 9/14 · Saturday · 19:30
4 : 0
First half 4:0 Finished
PredictionHome
Predicted score2:1
Expected goals3.32
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
1.79 / 1.53

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Swindon Town — Newport County: Английн League Two, 9-р сарын 14, Бямба, УБ-ын цагаар 19:30. Цэнгэлдэх: The Nigel Eady County Ground.

Standings: Swindon Town — position 21 (3 points, 5 played), Newport County — position 8 (9 points, 5 played).

Last 5 matches — Swindon Town: L L D L D; Newport County: L W W W L.

4 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.02.03): Swindon Town 2 wins, 0 draws, Newport County 2 wins.

Model probabilities: Swindon Town win 44%, draw 23%, Newport County win 33%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 3.32.

Over 2.5 goals probability 64%; both teams to score probability 65%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)44%
Draw (X)23%
Away win (2)33%
1X67%
X256%
1277%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.54%96%
1.516%84%
2.536%64%
3.558%42%
4.576%24%
5.588%12%
Both teams to scoreYes 65%No 35%

First half

135%
X37%
228%
Over 0.578%
Over 1.544%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 27%5%3% X 14%12%11% 2 3%5%20%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.524%–76%
-1.024%21%56%
-0.544%–56%
+0.044%23%33%
+0.567%–33%
+1.067%18%16%
+1.584%–16%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:19.8%
  2. 2:18.9%
  3. 1:27.6%
  4. 2:26.8%
  5. 1:06.6%
  6. 2:05.8%

Expected goals: Swindon Town 1.79 · Newport County 1.53

Team statistics

Swindon TownhomeSwindon TownallNewport CountyallNewport Countyaway
Matches2663
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт0.500.831.831.33
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт3.002.002.172.33
Over 1.5100%83%83%67%
Over 2.5100%50%83%67%
Over 3.550%33%83%67%
Both teams to score50%67%83%67%
Clean sheets0%17%17%33%
Гоол оруулаагүй50%33%0%0%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Английн League Two — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт