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Paris Saint Germain – Lille: predictions and statistics

Францын Лиг 1 · 24-р тойрог 3/2 · Sunday · 04:05
4 : 1
First half 4:0 Finished

Lille

LWLWW
PredictionHome
Predicted score2:1
Expected goals3.07
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
1.97 / 1.10

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Paris Saint Germain — Lille: Францын Лиг 1, 3-р сарын 2, Ням, УБ-ын цагаар 04:05. Цэнгэлдэх: Parc des Princes.

Standings: Paris Saint Germain — position 1 (59 points, 23 played), Lille — position 5 (41 points, 23 played).

Last 5 matches — Paris Saint Germain: D W W W W; Lille: L W L W W.

5 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.09.02): Paris Saint Germain 4 wins, 1 draws, Lille 0 wins.

Paris Saint Germain — 23 matches unbeaten.

Model probabilities: Paris Saint Germain win 57%, draw 24%, Lille win 20%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 3.07.

Over 2.5 goals probability 59%; both teams to score probability 58%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)57%
Draw (X)24%
Away win (2)20%
1X80%
X243%
1276%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.56%94%
1.518%82%
2.541%59%
3.563%37%
4.580%20%
5.591%9%
Both teams to scoreYes 58%No 42%

First half

143%
X37%
220%
Over 0.575%
Over 1.540%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 37%5%2% X 18%12%8% 2 3%5%12%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.534%–66%
-1.034%22%43%
-0.557%–43%
+0.057%24%20%
+0.580%–20%
+1.080%12%8%
+1.592%–8%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:111.1%
  2. 2:19.9%
  3. 2:09.0%
  4. 1:08.2%
  5. 3:16.5%
  6. 3:05.9%

Expected goals: Paris Saint Germain 1.97 · Lille 1.10

Team statistics

Paris Saint GermainhomeParis Saint GermainallLilleallLilleaway
Matches10101010
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт2.502.501.701.30
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт0.901.101.000.80
Over 1.590%80%90%70%
Over 2.570%70%60%40%
Over 3.550%50%20%20%
Both teams to score80%80%80%40%
Clean sheets20%20%20%50%
Гоол оруулаагүй0%10%10%30%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Paris Saint Germain — trends

Unbeaten ×23Paris Saint Germain 23 matches unbeaten
Ялалт ×4Paris Saint Germain 4 consecutive wins
Scored ×11 (home)Paris Saint Germain 11 consecutive matches scoring (home)

Lille — trends

No notable streaks.

Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.

Францын Лиг 1 — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт