The last saved data is shown below. Updates are delayed, so scores and statuses may have changed.
Ajax – Heerenveen: predictions and statistics
Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 2.92 / 1.34
Match preview
Ajax — Heerenveen: Нидерландын Eredivisie, 8-р сарын 11, Ням, УБ-ын цагаар 22:45. Цэнгэлдэх: Johan Cruijff ArenA.
4 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.02.11): Ajax 3 wins, 0 draws, Heerenveen 1 wins.
Model probabilities: Ajax win 69%, draw 17%, Heerenveen win 14%. Most likely score 2:1, expected total goals 4.26.
Over 2.5 goals probability 80%; both teams to score probability 71%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 69% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 17% |
| Away win (2) | 14% |
| 1X | 86% |
| X2 | 31% |
| 12 | 83% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 2% | 98% |
| 1.5 | 7% | 93% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 80% |
| 3.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 4.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 5.5 | 74% | 26% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 71% | No 29% |
First half
| 1 | 54% |
|---|---|
| X | 29% |
| 2 | 17% |
| Over 0.5 | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 57% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 50% | – | 50% |
| -1.0 | 50% | 19% | 31% |
| -0.5 | 69% | – | 31% |
| +0.0 | 69% | 17% | 14% |
| +0.5 | 86% | – | 14% |
| +1.0 | 86% | 8% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | – | 6% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 2:18.1%
- 3:17.9%
- 1:16.4%
- 2:06.0%
- 3:05.9%
- 4:15.7%
Expected goals: Ajax 2.92 · Heerenveen 1.34
Ajax — recent matches
- No matches are stored for the last 60 days
Heerenveen — recent matches
- No matches are stored for the last 60 days
Ajax — home
- No matches are stored for the last 60 days
Heerenveen — away
- No matches are stored for the last 60 days
Head-to-head
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 24.02.11 Heerenveen – Ajax 3-2 (2-0)
- 23.11.05 Ajax – Heerenveen 4-1 (2-1)
- 23.03.12 Heerenveen – Ajax 2-4 (1-3)
- 22.09.11 Ajax – Heerenveen 5-0 (2-0)