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Southampton – Brighton: predictions and statistics

Английн Премьер лиг · 26-р тойрог 2/22 · Saturday · 23:00
0 : 4
First half 0:1 Finished
PredictionVisitors
Predicted score1:2
Expected goals3.38
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
1.38 / 2.00

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Southampton — Brighton: Английн Премьер лиг, 2-р сарын 22, Бямба, УБ-ын цагаар 23:00. Цэнгэлдэх: St. Mary's Stadium.

Standings: Southampton — position 20 (9 points, 25 played), Brighton — position 11 (37 points, 25 played).

Last 5 matches — Southampton: L L W L L; Brighton: W L L W W.

3 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.11.30): Southampton 0 wins, 1 draws, Brighton 2 wins.

Model probabilities: Southampton win 26%, draw 22%, Brighton win 52%. Most likely score 1:2, expected total goals 3.38.

Over 2.5 goals probability 66%; both teams to score probability 65%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)26%
Draw (X)22%
Away win (2)52%
1X48%
X274%
1278%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.53%97%
1.515%85%
2.534%66%
3.556%44%
4.575%25%
5.587%13%
Both teams to scoreYes 65%No 35%

First half

124%
X36%
240%
Over 0.578%
Over 1.545%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 15%5%3% X 9%11%16% 2 2%5%33%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.511%–89%
-1.011%15%74%
-0.526%–74%
+0.026%22%52%
+0.548%–52%
+1.048%22%30%
+1.570%–30%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:29.4%
  2. 1:19.3%
  3. 0:16.9%
  4. 0:26.8%
  5. 2:26.5%
  6. 2:16.5%

Expected goals: Southampton 1.38 · Brighton 2.00

Team statistics

SouthamptonhomeSouthamptonallBrightonallBrightonaway
Matches10101010
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт0.901.101.701.80
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт2.802.201.301.90
Over 1.580%80%80%100%
Over 2.580%80%60%80%
Over 3.560%50%40%60%
Both teams to score50%60%40%70%
Clean sheets10%10%40%20%
Гоол оруулаагүй40%30%30%10%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Английн Премьер лиг — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт