The last saved data is shown below. Scores and statuses may change at the next refresh.
Toluca – Puebla: predictions and statistics
Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.
Lineups and participation reports
API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.
Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation
No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.
Starting lineup availability
Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.
Data behind this prediction
These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.
- Expected goals · home / away
- 2.78 / 0.89
Match preview
Toluca — Puebla: Мексикийн Liga MX, 10-р сарын 23, Лхагва, УБ-ын цагаар 11:05. Цэнгэлдэх: Estadio Nemesio Díez.
Standings: Toluca — position 2 (25 points, 12 played), Puebla — position 13 (11 points, 13 played).
Last 5 matches — Toluca: D L W D W; Puebla: L L L L L.
2 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2024.01.27): Toluca 0 wins, 1 draws, Puebla 1 wins.
Puebla — 5 consecutive losses.
Model probabilities: Toluca win 76%, draw 14%, Puebla win 9%. Most likely score 2:0, expected total goals 3.68.
Over 2.5 goals probability 71%; both teams to score probability 56%.
1X2 and double chance
| Home win (1) | 76% |
|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 14% |
| Away win (2) | 9% |
| 1X | 91% |
| X2 | 24% |
| 12 | 86% |
Under / Over
| Under | Over | |
| 0.5 | 3% | 97% |
| 1.5 | 12% | 88% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 71% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 5.5 | 83% | 17% |
| Both teams to score | Yes 56% | No 44% |
First half
| 1 | 58% |
|---|---|
| X | 30% |
| 2 | 12% |
| Over 0.5 | 81% |
| Over 1.5 | 49% |
Half-time / Full-time
Rows — half-time; columns — full-time
Handicap (home)
| Line | Win | Draw at the line | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 56% | – | 44% |
| -1.0 | 56% | 20% | 24% |
| -0.5 | 76% | – | 24% |
| +0.0 | 76% | 14% | 9% |
| +0.5 | 91% | – | 9% |
| +1.0 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | – | 3% |
Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.
Most likely exact scores
- 2:09.8%
- 3:09.1%
- 2:18.8%
- 3:18.1%
- 1:06.9%
- 1:16.5%
Expected goals: Toluca 2.78 · Puebla 0.89
Team statistics
| Tolucahome | Pueblaaway | |
| Matches | 10 | 5 |
| Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Алдсан гоол / тоглолт | 0.70 | 1.40 |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 20% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 20% |
| Both teams to score | 50% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 20% |
| Гоол оруулаагүй | 20% | 40% |
Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.
Toluca — recent matches
Puebla — recent matches
Toluca — home
Head-to-head
- Манай санд байгаа өмнөх тоглолтууд — дунд нь манай санд байхгүй тоглолт байж болно
- 24.01.27 Puebla – Toluca 1-1 (1-1)
- 23.11.01 Toluca – Puebla 0-1 (0-0)
Toluca — trends
No notable streaks.
Puebla — trends
Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.