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Jagiellonia – Pogon Szczecin: predictions and statistics

Польшийн Ekstraklasa · 34-р тойрог 5/24 · Saturday · 23:30
1 : 1
First half 0:1 Finished
PredictionHome
Predicted score2:1
Expected goals3.21
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
1.81 / 1.40

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Jagiellonia — Pogon Szczecin: Польшийн Ekstraklasa, 5-р сарын 24, Бямба, УБ-ын цагаар 23:30. Цэнгэлдэх: Chorten Arena.

Standings: Jagiellonia — position 3 (60 points, 33 played), Pogon Szczecin — position 4 (57 points, 33 played).

Last 5 matches — Jagiellonia: L L D W D; Pogon Szczecin: W W L W D.

Last 3 head-to-head matches: Jagiellonia 0 wins, 2 draws, Pogon Szczecin 1 wins.

Jagiellonia — 14 consecutive matches scoring (home).

Model probabilities: Jagiellonia win 47%, draw 24%, Pogon Szczecin win 29%. Most likely score 1:1, expected total goals 3.21.

Over 2.5 goals probability 62%; both teams to score probability 63%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)47%
Draw (X)24%
Away win (2)29%
1X71%
X253%
1276%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.54%96%
1.517%83%
2.538%62%
3.560%40%
4.578%22%
5.589%11%
Both teams to scoreYes 63%No 37%

First half

137%
X37%
226%
Over 0.576%
Over 1.542%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 29%5%2% X 15%12%10% 2 3%5%17%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.526%–74%
-1.026%21%53%
-0.547%–53%
+0.047%24%29%
+0.571%–29%
+1.071%16%13%
+1.587%–13%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:110.6%
  2. 2:19.3%
  3. 1:27.2%
  4. 1:06.9%
  5. 2:06.6%
  6. 2:26.5%

Expected goals: Jagiellonia 1.81 · Pogon Szczecin 1.40

Team statistics

JagielloniahomeJagielloniaallPogon SzczecinallPogon Szczecinaway
Matches10101010
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт2.101.102.301.80
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт1.101.201.401.40
Over 1.590%70%80%80%
Over 2.570%40%60%60%
Over 3.550%20%40%30%
Both teams to score70%70%50%50%
Clean sheets30%20%40%40%
Гоол оруулаагүй0%10%20%30%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Jagiellonia — trends

Scored ×14 (home)Jagiellonia 14 consecutive matches scoring (home)

Pogon Szczecin — trends

No notable streaks.

Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.

Польшийн Ekstraklasa — тэр өдрийн бусад тоглолт