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Bavarians – Khangarid: predictions and statistics

Монголын Үндэсний Премьер лиг · 17-р тойрог 4/22 · Monday · 19:15
0 : 5
First half 0:2 Finished
PredictionVisitors
Predicted score1:3
Expected goals5.16
Data quality Medium data quality

Archive simulation: this prediction was not published live; it was calculated later using only pre-match data.

Lineups and participation reports

API-Football · Selected matches are checked when quota allows. Coverage is incomplete. These factual reports do not change the prediction model.

Injuries, suspensions and doubtful participation

No verified participation report is available for this fixture yet.

Starting lineup availability

Confirmed starting lineups are not available yet. An empty response does not confirm who will play.

Data behind this prediction

These are the measurements recorded with this prediction. No invented lineup, injury or weather explanations are added.

Expected goals · home / away
1.69 / 3.47

Model results and limitations →

Match preview

Bavarians — Khangarid: Монголын Үндэсний Премьер лиг, 4-р сарын 22, Даваа, УБ-ын цагаар 19:15. Цэнгэлдэх: Football Centre MFF.

Standings: Bavarians — position 9 (7 points, 16 played), Khangarid — position 5 (26 points, 16 played).

Last 5 matches — Bavarians: L L L L L; Khangarid: W D W L W.

1 stored head-to-head matches (most recent: 2023.10.21): Bavarians 0 wins, 0 draws, Khangarid 1 wins.

Bavarians — 7 consecutive losses.

Model probabilities: Bavarians win 15%, draw 13%, Khangarid win 71%. Most likely score 1:3, expected total goals 5.16.

Over 2.5 goals probability 89%; both teams to score probability 79%.

1X2 and double chance

Home win (1)15%
Draw (X)13%
Away win (2)71%
1X29%
X285%
1287%

Under / Over

UnderOver
0.51%99%
1.54%96%
2.511%89%
3.524%76%
4.541%59%
5.559%41%
Both teams to scoreYes 79%No 21%

First half

118%
X25%
256%
Over 0.590%
Over 1.567%

Half-time / Full-time

1X2 1 9%4%5% X 5%6%15% 2 2%4%51%

Rows — half-time; columns — full-time

Handicap (home)

LineWinDraw at the lineLose
-1.57%–93%
-1.07%9%85%
-0.515%–85%
+0.015%13%71%
+0.529%–71%
+1.029%17%54%
+1.546%–54%

Probability of each result after adding the line to the home team's goal difference.

Most likely exact scores

  1. 1:36.8%
  2. 1:45.9%
  3. 1:25.8%
  4. 2:35.7%
  5. 2:45.0%
  6. 2:24.9%

Expected goals: Bavarians 1.69 · Khangarid 3.47

Team statistics

BavarianshomeBavariansallKhangaridallKhangaridaway
Matches3773
Оруулсан гоол / тоглолт1.001.002.002.33
Алдсан гоол / тоглолт6.005.571.000.67
Over 1.5100%100%57%67%
Over 2.5100%100%57%67%
Over 3.5100%86%43%33%
Both teams to score67%86%43%33%
Clean sheets0%0%57%67%
Гоол оруулаагүй33%14%14%0%

Based on up to 10 recent matches (90-minute scores). Matches before a gap of 60+ days are excluded; season coverage may be incomplete.

Head-to-head

Bavarians — trends

Losses ×7Bavarians 7 consecutive losses
2.5+ ×7Bavarians 7 consecutive matches with over 2.5 goals

Khangarid — trends

No notable streaks.

Streaks include only stored matches with no gap longer than 60 days between consecutive matches.